Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
EK413 wrote:Crackshot wrote:jupiter2 wrote:
Are you suggesting that JQ will use the 321LR to SGN ? That would be really pushing the envelope for it and would be a lot of extra expense for a relatively small increase in capacity and most likely a decrease in cargo capacity.. The split daily service was probably more than enough capacity for start up, remembering VN do daily to both SYD and MEL as has been mentioned. Plus the countless connections that can be made through other carriers to Vietnam.
I believe he’s referring to JQ plans to use the 321LR on its DPS routes, therefore freeing up 788s for hypothetical expansion for Vietnamese routes.
Correct. With 11 frames confident the A321LR will free up enough frames to go daily from both ports.
EK413
EK413 wrote:Crackshot wrote:jupiter2 wrote:
Are you suggesting that JQ will use the 321LR to SGN ? That would be really pushing the envelope for it and would be a lot of extra expense for a relatively small increase in capacity and most likely a decrease in cargo capacity.. The split daily service was probably more than enough capacity for start up, remembering VN do daily to both SYD and MEL as has been mentioned. Plus the countless connections that can be made through other carriers to Vietnam.
I believe he’s referring to JQ plans to use the 321LR on its DPS routes, therefore freeing up 788s for hypothetical expansion for Vietnamese routes.
Correct. With 11 frames confident the A321LR will free up enough frames to go daily from both ports.
EK413
qf789 wrote:VA looking at different 737MAX variants that will form its current order of 40 aircraft, first delivery end of 2019
https://twitter.com/AusAviation/status/ ... 0731186177
qf789 wrote:VA's Rod Sharp says VA plans to launch BNE-ASP
https://twitter.com/routesonline/status ... 8141946880
Boof wrote:Over the summer it's been a mixture of 717's and 737's to both MEL & SYD, where it appears to be standardising the 717 on the SYD route and the 737 on the MEL route.
TasFlyer wrote:Finally, from 25 March 2018, the HBA-SYD reverts back to all 717 operation, with the exception of a new weekly 73H service on Sunday bringing the frequency on this route up to 14 per week. From the same date, the roughly 5 daily 717s on HBA-MEL get replaced with roughly 4 daily 73Hs.
DeltaB717 wrote:Effective this coming weekend, there will be no more B717s scheduled over MEL at all - not to HBA, not to CBR, not to BNE and not to SYD. The only B717 flying out of HBA will be to SYD. Whether HBA will end up with more B717s again in the future we don't yet know, as for a time there will be 1-2 B717s out for mx at any one time.
TasFlyer wrote:In terms of estimating demand, there are a few indications the TT HBA-OOL is not doing badly:
1) The available fare prices for HBA-OOL are well above the base level throughout April.
2) VA has added several additional HBA-BNE flights over March and April due to demand.
3) TT has added several additional HBA-MEL flights over March and April due to demand.
4) Estimates from BITRE figures for December 2017 show that together JQ's HBA-ADL and TT's HBA-OOL averaged about 80% load factor.This calculation can't be split due to these routes being non-competitive; but, if say the ADL was doing better at 85%, then the OOL would still be at 75%. The January 2018 figures should be published in a week or so.
qf789 wrote:
tullamarine wrote:qf789 wrote:VA looking at different 737MAX variants that will form its current order of 40 aircraft, first delivery end of 2019
https://twitter.com/AusAviation/status/ ... 0731186177
This was always a big chance. The MAX-10 will be ideal for VA on its trans-continental services if it wants to add better J class seats in its narrowbodies. I doubt the MAX7 will find a space at VA unless its trip costs are shown to be significantly less than the MAX8.
qf789 wrote:VA's Rod Sharp says VA plans to launch BNE-ASP
https://twitter.com/routesonline/status ... 8141946880
Air traffic at Brisbane Airport will increase again in June as Virgin Australia will start services between Brisbane and Alice Springs.
Speaking from the Routes Asia 2018 conference in Brisbane, Virgin Australia Airlines group executive Rob Sharp announced the airline would operate twice-weekly return services from June 19.
The service would be operated on Tuesdays and Thursdays under an agreement with Alliance Airlines.
Source: https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/nation ... 4z51z.html
qf2220 wrote:qf789 wrote:
All these dedicated threads reducing the post count from the main one....!
aerokiwi wrote:tullamarine wrote:qf789 wrote:VA looking at different 737MAX variants that will form its current order of 40 aircraft, first delivery end of 2019
I wonder if the MAX10 is more likely at VA than QF given its more prolific use of front and rear door boarding. Turnaround times can be tight and I'm assuming this speeds things up. Of course inclement weather can kibosh that.
Then there's the MAX9 could VA standardise on that from the current -800 fleet? Or is runway and transcon performance so poor that you may as well stick with the MAX8 and leapfrog to the 10?
Boof wrote:
Despite all this happening in the current and coming months, you cannot expect to drive demand on to a route if people can't buy a ticket and right now you can't buy one 6 weeks out on the HBA-OOL route. Forward bookings won't magically appear if they update the schedule in the next week, it's two holiday markets, not spur of the moment business travel that is keeping bums on seats on the route. I hope it's retained but I can't see it happening.
jupiter2 wrote:EK413 wrote:Crackshot wrote:
I believe he’s referring to JQ plans to use the 321LR on its DPS routes, therefore freeing up 788s for hypothetical expansion for Vietnamese routes.
Correct. With 11 frames confident the A321LR will free up enough frames to go daily from both ports.
EK413
Fair enough, but they have said they aren't taking the 787s off DPS, at least entirely. I can see the 321LRs going to secondary Japanese and Chinese cities from CNS.
JBusworth wrote:qf2220 wrote:qf789 wrote:
All these dedicated threads reducing the post count from the main one....!
Whilst threads such as PER-LHR and QF Fleet do reduce post count here on the main Aussie thread, it allows for long running topics of conversation to be clustered together in one post and not separated by other more minor things and the monthly spilt.
qf789 wrote:We have spent the good part of the past 2 years discussing how PER-LHR would work and now we are only days away from first flight, so lets enjoy the moment.
CraigAnderson wrote:qf789 wrote:We have spent the good part of the past 2 years discussing how PER-LHR would work and now we are only days away from first flight, so lets enjoy the moment.
Bravo, well said!
CraigAnderson wrote:Honestly, who cares about 'post count' numbers? Who gives a toss about that little number below your photo icon? Quality not quantity, lads.
JBusworth wrote:qf2220 wrote:qf789 wrote:
All these dedicated threads reducing the post count from the main one....!
Whilst threads such as PER-LHR and QF Fleet do reduce post count here on the main Aussie thread, it allows for long running topics of conversation to be clustered together in one post and not separated by other more minor things and the monthly spilt.
qf789 wrote:JBusworth wrote:qf2220 wrote:
All these dedicated threads reducing the post count from the main one....!
Whilst threads such as PER-LHR and QF Fleet do reduce post count here on the main Aussie thread, it allows for long running topics of conversation to be clustered together in one post and not separated by other more minor things and the monthly spilt.
From time to time new topics that generate a lot of interest will be started that are initially discussed in this thread. This is not something exclusive to the Australian thread but also happens in other country/state threads along with production and order threads along with many other threads. The Qantas Fleet Thread was started as I had received requests from users for such a thread. The PER-LHR thread was started as a stand alone topic for a number of reasons. Firstly its the first non-stop flight between Australia and Europe along with being the longest 787 flight and there has been a lot of interest about this route among the wider a.net community. I primarily started the thread early as I wanted to include all the details so those commenting in the thread had a understanding on the overall preparation of the flight which included the flight planning which started in 2015, the new menus, the terminal upgrade at PER etc. By adding all this information I wanted to provide some context and I was hoping the negativity we have seen on previous PER-LHR threads from the general a.net community would not be as great, lets face it many not familiar to Australian Aviation wrote this route off when it was announced. Having said that I would also like to acknowledge all the users that contribute to this thread have embraced this route in one way or another. We have spent the good part of the past 2 years discussing how PER-LHR would work and now we are only days away from first flight, so lets enjoy the moment.
qf789 wrote:JBusworth wrote:qf2220 wrote:
All these dedicated threads reducing the post count from the main one....!
Whilst threads such as PER-LHR and QF Fleet do reduce post count here on the main Aussie thread, it allows for long running topics of conversation to be clustered together in one post and not separated by other more minor things and the monthly spilt.
From time to time new topics that generate a lot of interest will be started that are initially discussed in this thread. This is not something exclusive to the Australian thread but also happens in other country/state threads along with production and order threads along with many other threads. The Qantas Fleet Thread was started as I had received requests from users for such a thread. The PER-LHR thread was started as a stand alone topic for a number of reasons. Firstly its the first non-stop flight between Australia and Europe along with being the longest 787 flight and there has been a lot of interest about this route among the wider a.net community. I primarily started the thread early as I wanted to include all the details so those commenting in the thread had a understanding on the overall preparation of the flight which included the flight planning which started in 2015, the new menus, the terminal upgrade at PER etc. By adding all this information I wanted to provide some context and I was hoping the negativity we have seen on previous PER-LHR threads from the general a.net community would not be as great, lets face it many not familiar to Australian Aviation wrote this route off when it was announced. Having said that I would also like to acknowledge all the users that contribute to this thread have embraced this route in one way or another. We have spent the good part of the past 2 years discussing how PER-LHR would work and now we are only days away from first flight, so lets enjoy the moment.
EK413 wrote:I’ve been a.net member for the past 15 years and I must say I’ve never seen a dedicated moderator like qf789. Take my hat off to his work and commitment to keep this awesome website alive with latest news and updates. The personal time dedicated putting together discussion threads especially the latest QF PER-LHR thread. qf789 has researched, compiled the information and yet there are so many individuals busy bagging it.
So once again big thank you to qf789 for your hard work and time.
EK413
TasFlyer wrote:Boof wrote:Tigerair by the looks of it have very quietly dropped the HBA-OOL route from the end of April 2018. There is no mention of it happening, and nothing has been released by either HBA or TT but you can't book flights after the end of April. Wasn't flagged as a seasonal service: http://australianaviation.com.au/2017/0 ... t-flights/
I'm not surprised, one holiday market to another. When JQ tried it a few years ago they shifted the flights to BNE after about 6 months. Coincidentally about the same time frame that this service has lasted.
That's not entirely accurate:
The TT schedules displayed from 1 May onwards represent an old schedule and may yet change.
The comments from TT at the HBA-OOL launch were that they had committed to the end of April, and would then review.
Note also TT recently suspended BNE-PPP and BNE-PER due to insufficient aircraft.
The JQ HBA-OOL was launched in December 2010 and replaced with HBA-BNE in October 2013.
Having just had a state election in Tasmania, it wouldn't be surprising if a deal is struck to keep the HBA-OOL on at least twice per week over winter, before ramping back up to four per week over summer.
The other quiet news about HBA is QF replacing 717s on HBA-MEL with 73Hs from the end of March. This has not been announced anywhere, despite representing a significant increase in seats. When QF replaced the 717s on HBA-SYD with 73Hs in December last year there was again no announcement. The schedules post October 2018 revert to the old 717 schedule, so maybe this is only temporary until the 717 issues are sorted out, or perhaps these schedules have not yet been updated???
a36001 wrote:TasFlyer wrote:Boof wrote:Tigerair by the looks of it have very quietly dropped the HBA-OOL route from the end of April 2018. There is no mention of it happening, and nothing has been released by either HBA or TT but you can't book flights after the end of April. Wasn't flagged as a seasonal service: http://australianaviation.com.au/2017/0 ... t-flights/
I'm not surprised, one holiday market to another. When JQ tried it a few years ago they shifted the flights to BNE after about 6 months. Coincidentally about the same time frame that this service has lasted.
That's not entirely accurate:
The TT schedules displayed from 1 May onwards represent an old schedule and may yet change.
The comments from TT at the HBA-OOL launch were that they had committed to the end of April, and would then review.
Note also TT recently suspended BNE-PPP and BNE-PER due to insufficient aircraft.
The JQ HBA-OOL was launched in December 2010 and replaced with HBA-BNE in October 2013.
Having just had a state election in Tasmania, it wouldn't be surprising if a deal is struck to keep the HBA-OOL on at least twice per week over winter, before ramping back up to four per week over summer.
The other quiet news about HBA is QF replacing 717s on HBA-MEL with 73Hs from the end of March. This has not been announced anywhere, despite representing a significant increase in seats. When QF replaced the 717s on HBA-SYD with 73Hs in December last year there was again no announcement. The schedules post October 2018 revert to the old 717 schedule, so maybe this is only temporary until the 717 issues are sorted out, or perhaps these schedules have not yet been updated???
If the 717 is no longer flying MEL>HBA or SYD>HBA until October what is happening to the Hobart based Cabin Crew and Pilots that are based there? Those crew (at least I know for certain cabin crew are not) are not qualified to operate 737's.
a36001 wrote:TasFlyer wrote:Boof wrote:Tigerair by the looks of it have very quietly dropped the HBA-OOL route from the end of April 2018. There is no mention of it happening, and nothing has been released by either HBA or TT but you can't book flights after the end of April. Wasn't flagged as a seasonal service: http://australianaviation.com.au/2017/0 ... t-flights/
I'm not surprised, one holiday market to another. When JQ tried it a few years ago they shifted the flights to BNE after about 6 months. Coincidentally about the same time frame that this service has lasted.
That's not entirely accurate:
The TT schedules displayed from 1 May onwards represent an old schedule and may yet change.
The comments from TT at the HBA-OOL launch were that they had committed to the end of April, and would then review.
Note also TT recently suspended BNE-PPP and BNE-PER due to insufficient aircraft.
The JQ HBA-OOL was launched in December 2010 and replaced with HBA-BNE in October 2013.
Having just had a state election in Tasmania, it wouldn't be surprising if a deal is struck to keep the HBA-OOL on at least twice per week over winter, before ramping back up to four per week over summer.
The other quiet news about HBA is QF replacing 717s on HBA-MEL with 73Hs from the end of March. This has not been announced anywhere, despite representing a significant increase in seats. When QF replaced the 717s on HBA-SYD with 73Hs in December last year there was again no announcement. The schedules post October 2018 revert to the old 717 schedule, so maybe this is only temporary until the 717 issues are sorted out, or perhaps these schedules have not yet been updated???
If the 717 is no longer flying MEL>HBA or SYD>HBA until October what is happening to the Hobart based Cabin Crew and Pilots that are based there? Those crew (at least I know for certain cabin crew are not) are not qualified to operate 737's.
qf789 wrote:Flightglobal interview with JQ CEO Gareth Evans
Bulk of A321's will be used domestically
Combination of 788's/A321's on DPS routes from MEL & SYD with A321's doing back of the clock flying
https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic ... ar-446854/
But Evans says that the main focus for the A321neos will be on the domestic network, where they will kick off a replacement programme for its fleet of 52 baseline A320s and eight A321s.
“Primarily they are going to be a domestic aircraft, so this is about a generational change in technology,” he adds.
DeltaB717 wrote:
As I mentioned earlier in the thread, the B717s are being withdrawn from MEL but not from HBA. They will no longer operate MEL-CBR, MEL-HBA, MEL-SYD or MEL-BNE (as of this coming weekend), but will return to operating SYD-HBA (again, from this coming weekend). That will probably mean a reduction in the number of crew based in HBA, but their rostering may be reworked in some way to make up for the loss of the MEL route. Or, they may be offered relocation to another base, perhaps. I also mentioned that I expect further (re)deployment of the B717 fleet once they're through the maintenance period that currently has 2 at a time in the hangar in CBR. Perhaps that's a return to the MEL flying, perhaps it will be other things, I don't know, but I do know there are currently only 9-10 lines of 2-class B717 flying in the schedule.
TasFlyer wrote:
With the only HBA flying being two HBA-SYD services (departing at 0630 and 1245), there must surely be a reduction in crew at the HBA base. There would appear to be limited opportunity to rework the roster without significant dead-heading.
Do you have any idea when the MX is due to be complete? The QF timetable is showing a return to 717s at MEL from the commencement of the northern winter period; but, this could just be representing placeholder schedules of course.
TasFlyer wrote:DeltaB717 wrote:
Do you have any idea when the MX is due to be complete? The QF timetable is showing a return to 717s at MEL from the commencement of the northern winter period; but, this could just be representing placeholder schedules of course.
DeltaB717 wrote:a36001 wrote:TasFlyer wrote:
That's not entirely accurate:
The TT schedules displayed from 1 May onwards represent an old schedule and may yet change.
The comments from TT at the HBA-OOL launch were that they had committed to the end of April, and would then review.
Note also TT recently suspended BNE-PPP and BNE-PER due to insufficient aircraft.
The JQ HBA-OOL was launched in December 2010 and replaced with HBA-BNE in October 2013.
Having just had a state election in Tasmania, it wouldn't be surprising if a deal is struck to keep the HBA-OOL on at least twice per week over winter, before ramping back up to four per week over summer.
The other quiet news about HBA is QF replacing 717s on HBA-MEL with 73Hs from the end of March. This has not been announced anywhere, despite representing a significant increase in seats. When QF replaced the 717s on HBA-SYD with 73Hs in December last year there was again no announcement. The schedules post October 2018 revert to the old 717 schedule, so maybe this is only temporary until the 717 issues are sorted out, or perhaps these schedules have not yet been updated???
If the 717 is no longer flying MEL>HBA or SYD>HBA until October what is happening to the Hobart based Cabin Crew and Pilots that are based there? Those crew (at least I know for certain cabin crew are not) are not qualified to operate 737's.
As I mentioned earlier in the thread, the B717s are being withdrawn from MEL but not from HBA. They will no longer operate MEL-CBR, MEL-HBA, MEL-SYD or MEL-BNE (as of this coming weekend), but will return to operating SYD-HBA (again, from this coming weekend). That will probably mean a reduction in the number of crew based in HBA, but their rostering may be reworked in some way to make up for the loss of the MEL route. Or, they may be offered relocation to another base, perhaps. I also mentioned that I expect further (re)deployment of the B717 fleet once they're through the maintenance period that currently has 2 at a time in the hangar in CBR. Perhaps that's a return to the MEL flying, perhaps it will be other things, I don't know, but I do know there are currently only 9-10 lines of 2-class B717 flying in the schedule.
Flyingsottsman wrote:With the new QF Melbourne-Perth- Heathrow starting, I wonder if successful for Qantas, could that encourage British Airways to make a comeback to Perth using their 787s to? I am sure they would be watching Qantas to see how this route will preform and considering there is a large English diaspora living in Perth.
QF744ER wrote:Not sure if this has been posted but effective 17th April, Etihad will downgrade PER services back to a A332 from the current B789.
Flyingsottsman wrote:With the new QF Melbourne-Perth- Heathrow starting, I wonder if successful for Qantas, could that encourage British Airways to make a comeback to Perth using their 787s to? I am sure they would be watching Qantas to see how this route will preform and considering there is a large English diaspora living in Perth.
ben175 wrote:Flyingsottsman wrote:With the new QF Melbourne-Perth- Heathrow starting, I wonder if successful for Qantas, could that encourage British Airways to make a comeback to Perth using their 787s to? I am sure they would be watching Qantas to see how this route will preform and considering there is a large English diaspora living in Perth.
I think the only way this would happen is if QF drop PER-LHR when they launch SYD/MEL-LHR.
qf789 wrote:ben175 wrote:Flyingsottsman wrote:With the new QF Melbourne-Perth- Heathrow starting, I wonder if successful for Qantas, could that encourage British Airways to make a comeback to Perth using their 787s to? I am sure they would be watching Qantas to see how this route will preform and considering there is a large English diaspora living in Perth.
I think the only way this would happen is if QF drop PER-LHR when they launch SYD/MEL-LHR.
Even when QF launch SYD/MEL-LHR, QF will keep PER-LHR. QF through their own research have said the PER-LHR flight will add $770 million to the WA economy over the next 10 years.
qf789 wrote:QF through their own research have said the PER-LHR flight will add $770 million to the WA economy over the next 10 years.
waoz1 wrote:QF744ER wrote:Not sure if this has been posted but effective 17th April, Etihad will downgrade PER services back to a A332 from the current B789.
Been confirmed the downgrade... not surprised with Qatar A380 coming in to play.
As of 16th April
789 to an A332...
https://www.ausbt.com.au/etihad-downgra ... irbus-a330
planemanofnz wrote:qf789 wrote:QF through their own research have said the PER-LHR flight will add $770 million to the WA economy over the next 10 years.
Fingers crossed that it lasts that long, with potential SYD / MEL - LHR non-stop flights within that period eroding the value of a dedicated PER flight.
Cheers,
C.
qf789 wrote:MEL-LHR may start in 2023-24 at the earliest at which PER-LHR should be able to stand on its own rights.
Flyingsottsman wrote:With the new QF Melbourne-Perth- Heathrow starting, I wonder if successful for Qantas, could that encourage British Airways to make a comeback to Perth using their 787s to? I am sure they would be watching Qantas to see how this route will preform and considering there is a large English diaspora living in Perth.