It's amazing scaremongers are on A-net. EU aviation is akin to the EU car industry,
Volkswagen is currently parking a LOT of cars all over the place because they have reached the point where no one cared that they can´t be certified to the new 6D standard in time to ship them. There are limits, even for core industries.
no deal would be catastrophic for EU jobs and economy as it would be for UK jobs and economy.
The no-deal Brexit effects will be in the low single digits for all EU countries, RoI is looking at 4% GDP loss and that is the hardest hit EU country. Don´t be fooled by the trade deficit, there may be more exports from the EU into the UK than the other way round, but the Rest-EU is a vastly larger economy, so those exports are just a small part of their exports, but a vast chunk of the UKs exports.
The whole "They need us more than we need them, and hence getting the deal we want will be easy" got a firm "no" before, during and since the vote.
For that reason there will be a deal but the EU are acting like spoiled kids who have had their candy has been taken away, the candy being £8.6 billion the EU will not receive.
The EU is just correctly applying the single market rules and EU treaties. You know, those that the UK was one of the biggest driving forces behind and voted yes to each and every single provision.
The EU made very clear statements about what kind of deal can and can´t be done, from Norways style via basic free trade to no-deal WTO before, during and since the vote.
The UK drew up red line that are mutually exclusive with their hopes for a deal after the vote.
If the EU cared much for that money, the UK would have gotten a deal against access fee quite quickly. The "Have cake and eat it" philosophy is squarely on the UK side.
As far as aviation is concerned not only bi-lateral rights but what about overfly's for both the EU and UK all parties concerned know a no deal would be a disaster and currently it's like a poker game as to who will give in first to whatever deal the other side proposes.
I don´t think pure overflights will be a problem. In the unlikely event they do become a problem, the UK is easy to fly around, the rest of the EU... not so much.
So as of April 1st 2019 you will not see any difference to March 31st 2019 as a deal will be done as both sides know the damage if it is not and none of the 27 EU leaders would want that to happen on their watch.
Here is the thing: The EU has come to the conclusion that breaking the single markets integrity will do more harm to the EU´s economy than any Brexit, however chaotic it may be. There will be no "compromise" that breaks EU rules, the UK has to come up with a plan that works under EU law. The arbitrary UK red lines play no role in this. And the rest of the "you have to sort out our dealings with the EU before we can talk about trade deals first" world clearly took sides too.
This Singature is a safe space......