And just to clarify things, jetBlue doesn't really have any slots at JFK. What they have is slot exemptions, which means they don't need to own a slot to be able to operate a flight during JFK's slot restricted time period of 1500 (3:00 pm) to 1959 (7:59 pm). It's basically the same thing as having slots, though.
First, I want to ask a question. What is the deadline for jetBlue at JFK to use up their 75 slot exemptions? When the government awarded them the slot exemptions, jetBlue was supposed to phase them all in within a three year period. So does that mean they all have to be used by February 11, 2003, or has the government relaxed the use-it-or-lose time period at JFK due to the events of September 11? I read somewhere that if jetBlue winds up forfeiting any of their slots because they couldn't use them in time, then they couldn't expand any more during the hours of 3:00 pm - 7:59 pm until 2007, when slots at JFK are eliminated.
Also, am I correct in assuming that an 8:00 pm arrival or departure does not constitute using one of their slots?
I picked a randon date (06/26/2002) and looked at what flights would operate that day. Based on jetBlue's operations at JFK between the hours of 3:00 pm and 7:59 pm, effective 06/26/2002, which includes new service already announced but not yet started, it looks like jetBlue will only be using 33 of it's 75 slot exemptions so far. This is what I show as the breakdown:
BUF - 1 arrival 3 departures 4 total
BTV - 1 arrival 1 departure 2 total
DEN - 0 arrivals 0 departures 0 total
FLL - 3 arrivals 2 departures 5 total
RSW - 0 arrival 0 departures total
LGB - 2 arrivals 2 deparures 4 total
MSY - 1 arrival departure 1 total
OAK - 1 arrival 1 departure 2 total
ONT - 0 arrivals 0 departures 0 total
MCO - 2 arrivals 1 departure 3 total
ROC - 1 arrival 3 departures 4 total
SLC - 0 arrivals 0 departure 1 total
SJU - 1 arrival 0 departures 1 total
SEA - 0 arrivals 0 departures 0 total
SYR - 1 arrival 1 departure 2 total
TPA - 1 arrival 2 departures 3 total
PBI - 1 departures 1 arrival 3 total
So by June 26, jetBlue would have 16 arrivals and 17 departures at JFK between 3:00 pm and 7:59 pm for a total of 33 slot exemptions used. They're more than 2/3 of the way through their three-year phase-in period, yet they haven't even used up half of their JFK slots. They'll also be using 6 of their 27 alloted slots at LGB by that time. (Keep in mind that a slot exemption at JFK refers to a take-off or a landing, while a slot at LGB refers to a take-off and a landing.
How is jetBlue going to use the remaining 42 slots at JFK by February 2003 and use up the remaining 21 slots at LGB by 2003? Mind you, I'm not saying they can't, I'm just trying to think of ways they could achieve this goal.
One thought I had would be to do some 1-stop transcons between LGB and JFK, like LGB-DEN-JFK or LGB-SLC-JFK. This would add new service (LGB-DEN and LGB-SLC), add an additional frequency in markets they already serve now (DEN-JFK and SLC-JFK) and add more 1-stop frequencies to the nonstops they already have now between LGB-JFK.
Another thought I had that would get rid of a bunch of slots at JFK would be to run a shuttle back and forth between IAD-JFK.
Or, if they announce ORD as new city, they could do a bunch of LGB-ORD-JFK. Seems like there would be a lot of demand for flights between the LA area & Chicago and New York and Chigaco, plus - those ae some more of UA's and AAs high-yield bread and butter routes where jtBlue should do well.
Maybe the next couple of new cities should be closer to JFK, like ORD, CVG, CLE, etc., so 1 plane could do multiple short to mid-haul turn-arounds and knock some of these slots out?
Any other ideas/thoughts/comments?