Yyz717, wow! I never once new that! That is very, very intresting! I'm sure they had 5th freedom on MIA-GRU. I'm positive AA has the demand with connections and O&D to make MIA-NRT work, but there are some problems:
1) Range. I'm no expert, but while I believe NRT-MIA can be done, there are problems doing MIA-NRT. I am not positive, however.
2) Labour. AA has major union restrictions with flights over 14 hours. Which not only really limits the possibility of MIA-NRT (which would be roughly 14.5 hours, I think), but also ORD-HKG.
I think AA will have MIA-NRT by 2006 with the new hub openeing up if another carrier has not entered the fray. Right now, MIA is trying to lure a Latin American or Asian carrier to make MIA thier way-point for Asia-Latin America flights. Very recently there have been a lot of rumours about Varig starting GRU-MIA-NRT. After Varig applied for three extra weekly slots to Narita, it's been no secret in the local media that MIA wants those flights to be via Miami. TAM has also placed Tokyo as one of their future expansion destinations. MIA would undoubtley be the stop if TAM ever does decide to go as far as Tokyo. If LanChile ever expanded to Asia as well, MIA would most likely be the stop. MIA launched a plan recently to get non-stops to 26 new cities and lure new airlines by having talks with them and traveling to airport conferences, etc (in Asia, ICN, TPE, and NRT are on the list, I believe). Surprisngly, one of the tops on thier lists is Korean Air. We'll have to see what happens, though. I think Asia is definitley in Miami's future, but obviously only on one or two carriers. I personally feel that if LanChile continues to grow on it's excellent reputation, that SCL-MIA-NRT could be a very good bet. Slap on an AA codeshare, take in Miami's LanChile-loving business community (LA flies from MIA to LIM, SCL, BOG, CCS, CUN, PUJ, UIO, and GYE), and you might have a hit. Until then, JAL Holidays (I believe that is what they call thier charter/vacaction division) flies NRT-FLL every winter with 747-400s. Any MIA-Asia route would probably attract a lot of Latin business travelers and Asian tourists. Miami's Asian population is small, but there are significant Thai (Miami) and Chinese (Ft. Lauderdale) communities that would love getting home to be easier.