I think that AA has made fairly negative public announcements because they dont want their earning announcements to come as total shocks to investors. AA will pull out okay. I also think that UA is safe, they have too much to lose if they go under. If things really start going downhill there, I could see some investors coming in and bailing them out. On the other hand USAirways is a goner, no doubt in my mind about it. USAirways is in an impossible situation right now, especially with the huge influx of RJs in a lot of there main routes. No high-spending business traveler wants to fly on an RJ, and will try to stick with a main airline if he has a choice. No one, not even Gordon Bethune, could turn this one around. I expect the spoils of USAirways to be broken up 4 ways, just my guesses here...Philadelphia hub and some Airbus aircraft to Northwest, Pittsburgh hub and 767s, 757s, and some 737s to Delta, LGA hub and A320s to JetBlue..Neeleman will spend a ridiculous amount of money to grab the LGA hub and routes, the Charlotte hub and the remaining 737s will go to Continental. Thats just the way I see it panning out once US goes under.
America's chickens are coming home to rooooost!