Good news for ROC! I've been saying the same thing, that NW's market position in Western New York can only be strengthened by AA (and potential UA) downgrades in service. Remember too that NW has the beautiful new DTW WorldGateway, and DTW has a great runway layout, the ideal "II II" DFW/ ATL-style layout that moves a boatload of planes in all visibility conditions. ORD meanwhile has a snarled runway layout that is snarled in Chicago-area NIMBY politics.
AA and UA might invite more trouble for themselves with such precipitous declines in WNY seat capacity. As y'all note above, demand is not the problem. Fares are. Even businesses simply will not tolerate the rapine fares that prop up the Cartel's cost structures and made the late 1990's so profitable.
AA and UA are waving a red flag in Southwest's face. That new Midway airside building is almost done, and 1,000 of 3,000 new WN positions announced this spring are for MDW. BUF-MDW and ALB-MDW can't be far off. UNY still doesn't have much westbound low-fare-service, it's almost all southbound. Heck, such big AA and UA capacity cuts might even put ROC higher on WN's list for next year.
Need a new airline paint scheme? Better call Saul! (Bass that is)