The market between Asia and the US has been hit really hard as a result of the poor economy. Asia was much more affected than Europe service. I don't expect any new US cities anytime soon. The economy just isn't strong enough. The economy hit the technological and trade sector the most. The 2 #1 markets between Asia and the US.
Out of the cities you listed, I only see BOS as feasible possibly before 2004/2005. But even that is pushing it. The costs of operating an aircraft for that long of a distance are probably not worth it. You have to consider the crew costs and the operational costs.
PDX - Too close to SEA. PDX has a bad reputation of Asia service due to the INS complications DL had in the past.
SAN - Los Angeles is directly up north.
DEN has been on the table for NRT service for the past 3 years and 3 carriers are interested in the route. But that was before the economic turn down.
MCO-NRT is much lower-yielding, but capacity on such a route is much higher than an MIA-NRT route that it will probably be more feasible.
I think MIA has a much better chance than MCO of getting scheduled service. My bet is that AA, LA, or NW will launch MIA-NRT within the next two or three years.
I completely disagree there. The market for an MCO flight is much much greater than MIA. Florida is a major destination for Japanese for a number of reason, it's theme parks, NASA, and it's dozens of other attractions. MIA doesn't have that. As a result, an MIA-NRT route would need to rely on business traffic and like I mentioned earlier, business between MIA and NRT is extremely minimal.
An MIA-NRT flight would be feasible if operated by AA and coordinated with connections to Latin America. However, are the costs of operating an MIA-NRT flight worth it?
The impact of an MIA-NRT flight could severaly hurt DFW-NRT loads which is something AA would not want.
This is the same reason why UA does not operate transatlantic and transpacific routes from DEN and why DL doesn't operate transatlantic from SLC. Those passengers can be funneled through UA's ORD and IAD hubs, and DL's CVG and ATL hubs.
This is why I don't see AA opening up MIA-NRT. Simply put, there are 2 reasons why:
1) The costs of operating such a flight are probably not worth it.
2) It would impact the performance on DFW-NRT.
I don't see this route coming anytime soon. Not until the O&D market strengthens and a Japanese carrier operates the route.
Exactly, which is why they have the Tokyo Disneyland Resort, a resort far superior to any other Disney park, built to much higher standards. And Tokyo Disneyland is also the world's most visited themepark.
I know all about Tokyo Disneyland Resort. But Japanese still visit Disney World. I saw them there all the time. Lets not forget the other themeparks and other major tourist destinations.
The O&D between Miami and Asia is there for a 3x a week service. Factor in that plus the LatAm connections and you have a potential winner.
What I told Trvlr.
With sucky yields. To Europe, okay, but for such an ultra-long route, an regular airline cannot afford to have such poor yields.
I'm not saying MCO-NRT is going to happen. But it is more feasible than a MIA-NRT because the demand for that route is much higher. Yields are going to be the reason why such a flight won't happen. My point simply is MCO-NRT is more feasible than MIA-NRT.
"Generosity is giving more than you can, and pride is taking less than you need." - Khalil Gibran