Posts: 515
Joined: Sat Aug 17, 2002 3:07 pm

Rosy Outlook For Qantas

Thu Jan 23, 2003 7:21 am

Just about all major broking houses have big buy recommendations on Qantas with some having price targets of $5.20 per share a massive 30% above yesterday's close. This would place a value on Qantas of between $9 - $10 Billion.

While the war in Iraq remains a major risk many positive factors outweigh this:-

* 75% of fuel hedged at $25USD a barrel compared to current price of $35USD;
* Very strong domestic market which is described as one of the most lucrative in the world;
* Extremely strong international load factors and increasing yields;
* Strong performance from start up Australian Airlines which is set to add 55c per share to the valuation;
* Resilience of QF's major markets to any impending war;
* Market share gains especially from United Airlines.

Deutsche expects EBIT for QF to settle in at a sustainable 11% of turnover. Based on forecast turnover of $12Billion this would equate to a EBIT of $1.320 Billion. This will further increase in the ANZ partnership gets the green light.

Posts: 1242
Joined: Thu Mar 15, 2001 2:55 pm

RE: Rosy Outlook For Qantas

Thu Jan 23, 2003 2:12 pm

That will be great news for Qantas.
I'm glad they are using it to extend their potential
Spirit of Australia
Posts: 1294
Joined: Sun Mar 25, 2001 4:32 am

RE: Rosy Outlook For Qantas

Thu Jan 23, 2003 2:24 pm

As a Qantas shareholder I hope the predictions come true
as the shares have been trounced the past few months.


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