Who's to say that Cathay or JAL won't go A3XX and BA won't go Boeing. People change their minds alot, and people run the airlines. What REALLY makes the decision for who busy what is ECONOMICS.
Boeing plans the 747X to be smaller than the A3XX, at the same operating costs and initial purchase price. The A3XX is larger and offers fairly good cost and efficiency, so which is better? Well, to a smart airline that's going to cram as many pax as possible into a plane that has low costs, the choice is clear- the A3XX. You can tell me how wrong I am and everything, but look-you get more passenger area for the same cost as the 74X. The airlines will see this and buy Airbus.
On the other hand, maybe a 74X would be useful for cities that don't have enough air travelers to fill an A3XX twice a day, THEN a 74X would prove useful. But overall the A3XX seems to be just a little more practical, economical, and efficient. Boeing is not far behind, but a little goes a long way, and airlines will buy the cheapest plane with th most passenger seats. It's comparable to going to the grocery store.
If you see a gallon of milk for $3.00, and you see a half gallon for the same price, which do you get? Obviously the gallon. Now I'm NOT saying the 747X is half the size as the A3XX, just an example.
Airbus seems to be moving at a faster pace than Boeing, but they have their government-trying to boost commerce-backing them up. Boeing is it's own company, so they just can't fork out 50 billion and say "Build a giant."
Airbus can, although they might break France, they can. And they WILL build the A3XX, I assure you. It's just a question of-Can Boeing keep up?
If I had my own airline (which I do
), I would buy the A3XX. It's just more practical, plain and simple.
I don't know who is pro-Boeing and pro-Airbus on this forum, but I am neither. When I look at a plane I might consider getting for my airline far in the future, I don't say, "Oh, I'm going Boeing 'cause it's American!" No, I look at economics, engines, fuel burn, EFFICIENY!
I hear alot of compliments about Airbus' comfort. I can't say anything to that area simply because the only airliner I've every been on is a 763. But that doesn't make me single out Boeing as the best. No, when I fly to Europe this summer, there's almost no doubt that we'll get an Airbus at one time. And then I will decide which plane I think is MORE COMFORTABLE, not better.
I favor both companies. Personally I'd like to see them WORK TOGETHER for once. But you know that's impossible in a world of competition. They're each out the get each other's money. But, if they made a product that had thigs here and there from each company, if they built a giant together, they'd have one hell of a product.
When Boeing made the 777, they had VERY many nations pitch in for th project, and do you think they asked FRANCE for anything?! No! But what if they did for the 74/A3XX? Well, it's not gonna happen, but if it did, one reliable, efficient, COST EFFECTIVE product. Don't you think?
But no, it'll never happen. They won't work together until one buys the other or drives them to bankruptcy. And the way it looks right now to me, Airbus has it's rope around Boeing's neck, and Boeing can fight back all they want, but unless they cut the rope and REALLY come up with something original, Airbus will kill them in the end.
Sorry, but that's the sad truth. Take it how you please, but that's just MY two cents on the issue.