"My guess for which Boeings that are in for retirement, first 757, then 767, 717
and 737. I think Boeing will have a smaller aircraft family in the future, 7E7, tripple-7 and 747."
Boeing will continue to market the 757 for a time; it thinks there's potential in China but there's a real question as to whether U.S. domestics will come back to it. The 767 will fade as a paxliner but will continue for some years in its' military tanker form, the USAF
has indicated strong interest in KC
-767 orders well beyond the 100-unit lease now finalized; it desperately needs to replace hundreds of KC
-135s over the next couple of decades. Boeing has said there's been a lot of interest in the 717 in the last 6 months; as the economy picks up, there should be new orders-it should be around for some years, I'd think. WHY the 737?-unitwise, it's by far, Boeing's best performer; it should continue for more than a decade longer. "737NG TOTAL: 74 customers, 2080 orders, 1315 deliveries, Backlog:765". I think the 747 will continue as a niche market airplane, bridging the gap between the 773-ERs/A346s and the A388. There won't be lots of orders, as the 744 used to enjoy but there'll be enough to sustain the line, including a proposed Advanced version. The 777 should continue to rack up solid orders as the economy improves and the 7E7 will probably be a hit out of the park if Boeing's DOC projections are accurate.
"Where was all the support for Boeing when Airbus announced one order after another? I have noticed that B fans 'across the pond' have been rather silent lately - come out where ever you are!!!!"
A valid question. No doubt this has been the 2nd Paris Air Show where Airbus has positively humiliated Boeing in orders, recall the massive Airbus ILFC order in 2001? This is somewhat skewed by Airbus's policy of saving up order announcements for the show but, nevertheless, Airbus is WAY ahead of Boeing this year. Again, I largely blame Boeing's 1999 abandonment (for the most part) of aggressive discounting for this huge disparity; its' market share has slipped greatly since then. Ignoring for now the direct/Airbus vs. indirect/Boeing subsidy issue, I think this strategy change was a huge mistake, sacrificing long-term market presense for short-term profitability. It's a perfect way to steer former customers straight to Airbus, regardless of competitive product merits. Now, if Boeing and the U.S. feel they have a valid case against the E.U. and Airbus, they should get going and bring it to the W.T.O., otherwise Boeing should just bite the bullet and honestly TRY to compete. Boeing need not lose so many many orders if it adjusts its' sales practices. In a dog-eat-dog world, you HAVE to be aggressive-Airbus obviously understood this when IT
was the underdog. Now that Boeing is the underdog (in commercial aircraft sales, at least), it MUST adopt that same David vs. Goliath mentality and attack Airbus on all fronts; unless, of course, it merely wishes to diversify itself out of the business and hand the entire market to Airbus. HOW'S THAT, AIRBUS FANS? Heavy criticism of Boeing BY
a Boeing fan!