ABE: 20-40 Cons: too close to BWI
, smallish metro area at 640,000. Pros: Able to draw from Harrisburg, Philadelphia, Wilkes Barre/Scranton, and the NYC suburbs in Northern NJ
: 100 Larger metro area at 1.00 million. Able to draw somewhat from the southern DC metro as well as a broad swath of VA. And...Southwest said they intended to serve RIC in the future when ORF was announced
. To quote their press release: "Southwest Airlines, which brackets the Norfolk area with service from Baltimore/Washington and Raleigh-Durham, also intends to serve the Richmond International Airport. Kelleher stated that Southwest plans to serve Richmond 'at the appropriate time in the future,' but first needs to complete terminal expansion projects in several cities that would be desirable Richmond destinations but which currently lack the necessary facilities for additional flights."
: 20 Large metro area at 1.69 million, can also draw folks north of Chicago who are unwilling to drive to MDW
. AirTran and NWA at MKE
are NOT the issue; the real question is the fate of Midwest Airlines. It seems like the state of Wisconsin and Milwaukee County are going to try to do their best to help out YX
: 0 Too small (metro population of 240,000), too close to MHT
already gets passengers from Southern Maine), not close enough to Boston.
: 10 Strong population base at 1.10 million, but a short drive on the Thruway from BUF
. Possible once there are more gates at BWI
; are there enough empty gates at ROC
to have two to start?
: 10 Smaller than ROC
at 730,000, but more distant from ALB
. Also can potentially draw from Utica, Binghamton, etc., but is probably more likely long-term than short-term.
: 75 Actually larger than RDU
at 1.25 million (and why wouldn't it draw from Winston-Salem; INT
hasn't had commercial service for a few years?). Served by US Airways Express from BWI
(most airports in the East added by WN
had had non-stop flights on US to BWI
). Also would draw from western NC
and passengers looking to avoid high fares from CLT
: 25 Smallish metro area at 540,000, but within the Wright/Shelby Amendment perimeter. Could draw traffic to/from PNS
, which is also a roughly 25% possibility for WN
: 5 Small metro area at 460,000, Access Air failed because the locals were unwilling to support the hometown LCC. And it's close to both OMA
. Might be possible in the future (~10 years) with flights to MDW
, and LAS
: 5 Smallish metro area at 550,000, poor history with LCC's, very close to MCI
. The only plus is that they could serve DAL
(if the locals actually stopped flying AA
: 50 Lots of traffic even though the metro population is only 440,000, and the new terminal should be done within the next 2-3 years. The primary disadvantages are that RSW
traffic is far more seasonal than the other Florida airports *and* it's too close to MCO
, and PBI
to justify service to those airports. And I doubt that RSW
is a really popular route. But it would be workable with flights to MDW
, and possibly MSY
: 0 Too close to TPA
, even though the population (590,000) is larger than Fort Myers. I've also heard it said SRQ
has some of the highest fees in the country.
: 0 I don't see WN
entering the other majors' fortress hub cities (MSP
) for at least 10-15 years, unless said fortress hub city is abandoned by its hubbing airline. There are too many other, better opportunities that don't involve brutal fare wars and hub city passengers who are swayed by frequent flyer loyalty programs.
: 0 Small metro area at 550,000 and not much additional population within 100 miles. CAE would be a better choice even though its population is slightly smaller.
5 Same reasoning as MSP
, but a possibility *only if* NWA were forced to abandon its hub at MEM
for financial reasons. Not likely in my opinion though, but more likely than MSP
. Smallest metro area with a major passenger airline hub at 1.14 million.
: 10 Medium-sized metro area at 690,000 and can draw from a fairly large area, but it's likely WN
has bigger fish to fry in the next 3-5 years.
: 0 Smallish metro area at 600,000, and it's too close to MSY
: 0 Small metro area at 390,000, three hours' drive from Dallas. And if they haven't served it by now, it's not a priority.
SWF: 5 Can draw from the northern NYC suburbs but it's REALLY on the outer edge of the area. Good highway access but it's a hike for people in Westchester (50+ miles on the Thruway) while LGA
is <20 miles and a straight shot down the Hutch and over the Whitestone Bridge (though the traffic at the tolls can SUCK). A slam-dunk if it were 30 miles farther south.
ACY: 0 Already very well-served for low fares by Spirit. And too close to BWI
: 0 They already explored the possibility, the NIMBY's are adamantly against it. Will happen the day after never.
ILG: 0 Not much in the way of facilities and only about 75 miles from BWI
: 5 Short runways and poor terminal facilities. Great location, though the local NIMBY's will prevent the airport from ever being expanded.