my thoughts (from a European perspective)...
a) It is unlikely LCC's will fly longhaul - LCC's make profits from frequency & quick turnaround -this is largely not possible on most longhaul routes.
also on longhaul people *need* to be fed - this does not fit in with the LCC strategy
b) joining an airline alliance is again unlikely as LCC's fly to secondary airports (eg stanstead, luton) - thus they can not easily feed their passengers into the longhaulers - such as LHR
c) Consolidation between LCC's is very likely, major carriers are already reacting to LCC's in a major way, and the market cannot continue to grow at the rate seen over the last ten years.
small players, such as BMI
Baby, mytravel lite will inevitably not be here in ten years time, in their current shape at least.
LCC is all about scale, so Easy and Ryan will be the remaining LCC players in ten years time....
d) It will be interesting to see which player in Europe is first to adopt DIRECTV (albeit SKY TV
!) - in the US you have jetblue and frontier offering live TV
, however no one has as yet picked this up in Europe. This would seem to be an area where major carriers can achieve further separation in their business models from LCC's - if they are prepared to throw the bucks at it....