I would like to know how did you paste the BRJ-X pic to your earlier post?
I mentioned in an earlier post that BBD didn't shut down all work on the BRJ-X when they shelved it. The most visible work was that they continued to fly their Challenger test bed (ACT
) for the BRJ-X's FBW system.
Also, as mentioned previously, the original specs were for a 90-110 pax aircraft with P&W engines. Now, they say that they are looking at 110-130 pax and 7E7 type materials and approaches - all electric aircraft, extensive use of composites, etc. If they would choose this course, then they would in essence almost have to start from scratch again as the original design was pretty conventional.
One of the problems that BBD faces if they launch the 90-110 seat version is that it will be a "me, too" aircraft arriving very late to market. That has obviously influenced them to consider the 110-130 seat market for at least 3 reasons:
1) Using 7E7 type technology on the 90-110 seat aircraft will have a considerable lesser benefit gain than on a larger 110-130 seat aircraft - it would be harder to squeeze the 15-20% performance improvement that BBD says it requires for a launch decision;
2) There is a larger market in the 110-130 seat range;
3) There is no currently "optimized" aircraft in this range (and none with 7E7 type technology).
After the recent ariticles in the Globe&Mail and National Post on WestJets's interest in the E170/190 (and more importantly, total rejection of the CRJ-700/900), I imagine that BBD PR
spin masters are trying to figure out how to minimize the publicity fallout.
And if AC
doesn't choose the CRJ's, watch out for BBD's regional aircraft employees heading to the phones with their CV
The most important point that you failed to make about the launch decision is that Bombardier is not so much late in deciding to launch the BRJ-X (though that is a very important point) but that they are in a poor financial position to afford a launch.
The debt of company is just one grade above junk status, so imagine what the credit rating company's would do if they launched what is a very expensive jet (and risky, too - as B2702SST states, they would be up against Boeing AND Airbus). The stock price would just drop like a rock. Even if BBD's finances permitted it, I doubt very much that investors would stomach it.
528 is a non-starter. The market for 50 pax RJ
's is very close to saturation and by the time that the 528 hits the market it will be too late and too expensive. As mentioned in an earlier post, BBD had plans for a CRJ-700 shrink to 50 seats to replace the CRJ-200 but backed away because it jsut doesn't make any economic sense. Plus, FD
with very limited development resources would have much richer pickings at the opposite end of the spectrum.
FYI, the 728 would still face the same high tariff restrictions as BBD and EMB since the aircraft would still be assembled in Germany.
[Edited 2003-10-29 22:32:50]
Nationalism is an infantile disease. It is the measles of mankind. - A. Einstein