Ahhh, see I disagree with Pendelton.
The Marines are even less likely to give that up than they are to move from Miramar. Pendelton is the ONLY coastal access base they have on the west coast and far too much training is done there for them to move out. And to bring in a civil airport would mean stopping that training. (Tactical air, both fast movers and helicopters don't mix well with the Class B airspace needed by a major airport. On top of that you have artillery ranges that don't mix well either.)
I think in the very long run San Diego will somehow inherit Miramar. With the S-3's being deactivated over the next few years there will be open space at North Island which will remain important to the Navy in spite of a very strong NIMBY population in Coronado. OLF Imperial Beach could also again take on a larger role for the military, taking pressure off of Miramar.
If you look back at the history of the region there is an interesting parallell between the airport issues of today and port/rail issues of the late 1800's. San Diego has a far better natural port than LA
, but we had no rail link. Each city politicked for a direct rail line to the east, LA
won and becuase of that became the powerhouse in shipping and manufacturing/business that it is today. San Diego had the opportunity and lost it. As noted San Diego had the opportunity to have Miramar as a civil airport back in the 50's, one which could have been eventually turned into a major regional airport, serving the needs of Southern California, much in the way that LAX
does today. But our local government, being short sighted, blew it and rejected the offer. ooops.
What I see is Lindbergh continuing to feed flights to LA
and other points east. March ARB will eventually take on more pax traffic to relieve pressure on LAX
. (more cargo will eventually route through March, which has great freeway and rail access.)
Sadly todays local government in San Diego is still stuck in a "how to do it cheap, we are a small town" mindset. Just look at the fires of this week...The government would never properly fund the needed fire and police protection and we paid for it. (Incidently, the San Diego Police Department was able to evacuate something on the order of 25,000 people in less than three hours with no injuries to citizens. But this stripped the rest of the city bare of any police protection. The only available fire crews left to protect the area I live in, which was immediatly threatend by the Otay fire were the crash crews from OLF Imperial Beach...in crash trucks!! Fine for aircrash, piss poor for brush fires, but they did the best job possible.)