The usual responders have stayed away from this particular topic, and I'm venturing in against my better judgement.
Three quick doses of reality before I light up my crack pipe:
1. First question, and this is based on a much more realistic scenario, is what if USAir liquidated?
2. I have serious doubts that either a.) the DOT and/or b.) the antitrust division of the Treasury Dept. (or is it Commerce?) would allow a major airline like AA
to dominate 5 major markets.
3. It won't be an overnight, sudden event...there will be too many signs pointing to the end, and it would be a gradual auctioning off, like was the case with Pan Am.
Ok everyone...my crack pipe is lit up and running at full throttle, so now it's time to go to fantasyland...or drug-induced haze land...or is it the Neverland ranch? (Sorry...couldn't pass that one up
is somewhat better positioned, and would have the cash to pick up the Pacific routes. SFO
would become HUGE for them.
will mortgage everything to the hilt to get LHR
access. (Gordon Bethune would get something big, or the board would park his ass on the curb) If it were an auction, NW
could be the dark horse on these routes. CO
would most likely to take the 744's...what a sad sight that would be, CO
's 747's...an insult if you ask me...
would buy aircraft and hire a lot of ex-UA employees in DEN
and would rule that roost very quickly.
would also pick up a lot of transcon routes, and might speed up a merger with F9
would be able to pick up some more ORD
authority, but very little, given anti-trust/anti competitive concerns. Same holds true for MIA
would pick up all of UA
's operations in SEA
, and possibly start a mini-hub in IAD
will pick up most of the north/south routes on the west coast. AS
would probably get some transcon. routes, and will hire some employees.
- USAir (if they don't liquidate before) will pick up a lot of UA
in turn will be merger/takover bait.
- A DL
/CO/NW merger in some form would probably take place, depending on who got what.
Well...I'm nearly overdosed, so I had to put the pipe down..cough, cough. Gee, now I'm depressed all of a sudden. On to popping Prozac....
And the winner for best actress is....REESE WITHERSPOON for 'Walk the Line'!!!!!!!!