I don't agree either.
Who the hell are you to be posting predictions about the future of Boeing's Commercial division? Unless you're an analyst at Goldman (which I highly doubt) and/or company observer, why don't you the spare the rest of us members and help get rid of rid of these kind of b/s forums so we can all have one less line to skim over in the forum index, please.
"I think," "I think," "I think," yeah, yeah, so you say; put up some charts, graphs, tables, data, etc. to back up your claims before making such a prediction; or worse yet, "borrowing" somebody else's work/article (see link below); yeah, you've been reading; next time cite your sources. Rule #8 in discussion forum terms and conditions: "If you have something to say, please do so; however be sure to mention your sources, perhaps with an HTML link or reference to a publication. If you are merely providing an opinion, please MENTION THIS in your post. We would like to avoid arguments based on rumors or misinformation."
If everybody started posting their own (unqualified, unfounded, and unintelligible) predictions, this place would be cluttered with utter nonsense (though it already is)....something you help to abate.
"Boeing is only making two percent of commercial aircraft sales and really does not see a market it for it in the next 10-20 years."
What? What are you talking about??: are you saying that only 2% of Boeing's sales are made by commercial aircraft or 2% of entire commercial aircraft sales are Boeing planes?? In either case, you're DEAD wrong!
According to Boeing Co. and charts offered by the Associated Press in many newspapers today, in the business section dealing with the Condit retirement, Boeing's 2002 sales and operating revenues were as follows:
Military aircraft and missile systems: 25%
Space and communications: 20%
Boeing capital corp. and other: 02%
Commercial airplanes: 52%
Yes, commercial aircraft sales account for more than half of Boeing total sales and operating revenues.
As far annual sales in recent years is concerned:
1999: approx. 57 billion
2000: apporx. 50 billion
2001: approx. 57 billion
2002: approx. 53 billion
Yes, Boeing's annual sales have not dropped as significantly (and in case of 2002, higher sales than 2000) post 9/11 as some people would have you believe.
Additionally, if you mean to infer Boeing is only making 2% of total commercial sales, then you're wrong again. According to article below, Airbus has 50% of market share, then in a likelihood, Boeing has a good chunk (definitely more than 2%) of the other 50%; likely around 40 or so, accounting for smaller plane manufacturers, such as Saab, Embraer, etc.
Here's an article that deals with the issue at hand. I think we can all read it and then come up with our own, somewhat informed opinions...
[Edited 2003-12-02 18:59:39]
Backhanding the left into submission, one activist judge at a time.