The problem WN
faces is that B6
cut them off from NYC, basically relegating WN
at Islip to Long Island and "some" Queens traffic.
Less people are likely to make the trek out to Islip to fly WN
are significantly closer to the majority of the 25 Million NYC Area residents, the LIRR station at Islip will help but does not hold a candle to the convenience of the Airtrain service at JFK
with it's connections to LIRR and NYC Subway.
It has been said (by myself here, and industry "experts") that WN
's experience in the NYC market is the main reason why they went into PHL
when everybody else was predicting Allentown, Trenton, Atlantic City etc..
Jetblue and the geography of the Northeast has forced WN
to rethink their policy of serving airports on the "outskirts" of major Cities to take advantage of less delays and cheaper operating costs, in Southern California, Florida or Texas where Cities are spread out and the populations sprawled out over a vast areas the WN
In the Northeast where populations are highly concentrated and roads heavily congested people will avoid long drives by any costs, meaning WN
was not going to draw from NYC proper tremendously with Islip to begin with. B6
trumped them by launching their service at JFK
, where they lucked out by TWA being bought by AA
and ending up with T-6 virtually to themselves within two years of their launching service.
It also helps that NYC's Senate delagation (Shumer), Giulianni, the Port Authority etc came to bat for B6
because they promised the first thing they would do is to launch flights from JFK
to Upstate NY and drop the astronomical fares. That was a political decison which actualy worked and lowered the fares, which began the Media love affair with B6
in NYC as the Politicians were taunting them to the NY Post etc every chance they got which gave a certain amount of credibility to the airline in the eyes of the Media and therefore the public.
The only way WN
could try to steal B6
's NYC thunder is to go to JFK
has no gates and it's delays make PHL
look like Pierre South Dakota and lighting striking twice at JFK
for both B6
is highly unlikely. It would be an uphill battle all the way, and similar problem may develop for WN
in the Boston area. Depending on how well B6
establishes themselves at Logan, and to what extent they are successful.
Im not saying that WN
's Islip, Manchester and Providence Rhode Island operations are not going to continue to be profitable. However Im sure the boys in Dallas are going to have to do something they don't often do, rework their projections for growth in the Northeast "downward".
's decides to make a go of it in EWR
I see little hope of them getting a foot in the door of the largest aviation market in the WORLD!
Newburgh, maybe but it's further from the City than Islip and the population starts thinning in numbers and size of wallet the further North you go from Rockland and Westchester Counties.
Westchester County airport is out of the question for WN
, Nimby's make the rules at the airport so much so that they had the parking garages closed before 7Am to discourage early morning flights.
The only other area airport would be Trenton NJ
, too close to their "new" PHL
operation though, it will be interesting to see how WN
plays things over the next couple years in the Northeast (particularly the NYC area).