From what I understand, AKL
's second runway is due to begin in 2006. It will be a parallel runway, shortened from the original plans and will thus most likely be confined to domestic flights. This would suggest that newer domestic terminals will have to be built north of the current international terminal.
I believe all objections to these plans have now been dealt with.
Meanwhile, this Emirates story is starting to sound more and more ridiculous. Take Australian pax from East Coast Oz cities, via AKL
to the US? Meaning, if their final destination was anywhere other than LA
, their flight would entail at least 2 stops. Unless EK
offered considerably lower prices, and to date they have not on the Tasman, QF
would respond accordingly and absolutely swamp this.
-South America? HA
! you're kidding right? Not only is this market notoriously low yielding, but almost the entire continent of South America is an absolute basket case at the moment (Chile aside). Argentina is still crippled from recent economic and political meltdowns (was it 4 presidents in 3 weeks? Or the other way around?), Brazil is an absolute mess, and the northern countries are busy fighting pseudo-civil wars.
South America has been "tipped" to be an economic goldmine for decades. Instead, it's become an absolute basketcase. Thje demand for travel isn't there. The demand for business isn't there. The logic of this is seriously warped. "Create an international network based on startegic hubs" - eh? "Like Pan Am" - whazza?! Pan Am went bust people, big time. Emirates has no alliance network behind it, and is desperately trying to become completely dominant in aviation and the sectors it serves so that within a few years time, when its massive (and growing) fleet comes up for maintenance/replacement, it has the leverage to deal with it affordably. EK
has a very small window of opportunity to do this. If it fails, I see dark clouds ahead. And I don't see AKL
as being a 'strategic hub'.