From what I've read at Aviation Week and elsewhere, Southwest's average flight segment is well under 500 miles, and they are the most profitable major airline. Short haul flights, whatever the fuel burn on climb and descent, are *not* necessarily high-cost.
The 70% figure for ROC
on weekdays sounds low. I read in the Democrat & Chronicle during the last year, and have heard from B6
agents at the ROC
counter, that it's much higher than that, closer to 90 percent. Frankly, I'm surprised they haven't scheduled a fifth daily again for the summer yet.
Any info on where JetBlue wants to fly from LGA
? I'd bet Florida and San Juan, most likely.
As for the Upstate-LGA
routes....I don't think you're going to see any increase in network-carrier service. US Airways has a big FF
base that helps them fill nine Express dailies on ROC
(as of online timetable last week, probably all DH8's). With JetBlue in the picture, enough people are willing to haul out to JFK
that Delta Connection or Continental Express probably couldn't compete offering RJ
service to LGA
. Only so many people are willing to pay for mainline service.
I haven't looked but would not be surprised if US is running such high frequencies on BUF
. In the past decade US Airways has never given Upstate NY a nice benefit like such high-frequency LGA
dailies unless there was another factor involved. (Like when the A320's magically started showing up at ROC
right after JetBlue entered)
Perhaps US actually can't use all of its huge boatload of LGA
slots to maximum efficiency right now (hard to believe considering how in-demand LGA
is) and is dumping some on Upstate right now as a squatting tactic until they can use them elsewhere.
I agree, JetBlueFan1, BUF
would probably be big winners for JetBlue once the 190's arrive. That is, if AirTran doesn't enter first with 717's. Only low fares will jump-start those once-thriving routes.