Topic Author
Posts: 2181
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 1999 11:05 pm

NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 6:19 am

Awesome stats -- the highest load factor of any U.S. major carrier. They control capacity very well in this enivronment, and the Pacific traffic looks good.

Press Release Source: Northwest Airlines

Northwest Airlines Reports March Traffic
Monday April 5, 5:05 pm ET

EAGAN, Minn., April 5 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Northwest Airlines (Nasdaq: NWAC - News) today announced a systemwide March load factor of 81.6 percent, 6.1 points above March 2003. Northwest flew 6.31 billion revenue passenger miles (RPMs) and 7.73 billion available seat miles (ASMs) in March 2004, a traffic increase of 5.3 percent and a capacity decline of 2.6 percent versus March 2003.

March 2004 March 2003 Change

Revenue Passenger Miles (000s):
System 6,307,448 5,991,160 5.3%
Domestic 3,861,468 3,756,054 2.8%
International 2,445,980 2,235,106 9.4%
Pacific 1,642,996 1,575,217 4.3%
Atlantic 802,984 659,889 21.7%

Available Seat Miles (000s):
System 7,734,391 7,939,997 (2.6%)
Domestic 5,014,357 5,027,236 (0.3%)
International 2,720,034 2,912,761 (6.6%)
Pacific 1,795,656 2,075,920 (13.5%)
Atlantic 924,378 836,841 10.5%

Load Factor:
System 81.6% 75.5% 6.1 pts
Domestic 77.0% 74.7% 2.3 pts
International 89.9% 76.7% 13.2 pts
Pacific 91.5% 75.9% 15.6 pts
Atlantic 86.9% 78.9% 8.0 pts

Enplaned Passengers 4,823,076 4,642,748 3.9%

YTD-04 YTD-03 Change

Revenue Passenger Miles (000s):
System 16,705,061 16,561,846 0.9%
Domestic 9,920,866 9,740,080 1.9%
International 6,784,195 6,821,766 (0.6%)
Pacific 4,638,424 4,847,281 (4.3%)
Atlantic 2,145,771 1,974,485 8.7%

Available Seat Miles (000s):
System 21,830,953 22,525,894 (3.1%)
Domestic 13,910,164 13,805,026 0.8%
International 7,920,789 8,720,868 (9.2%)
Pacific 5,234,476 6,054,319 (13.5%)
Atlantic 2,686,313 2,666,549 0.7%

Load Factor:
System 76.5% 73.5% 3.0 pts
Domestic 71.3% 70.6% 0.7 pts
International 85.7% 78.2% 7.5 pts
Pacific 88.6% 80.1% 8.5 pts
Atlantic 79.9% 74.0% 5.9 pts

Enplaned Passengers 12,512,429 12,284,102 1.9%

Northwest Airlines is the world's fourth largest airline with hubs at Detroit, Minneapolis/St. Paul, Memphis, Tokyo and Amsterdam, and approximately 1,500 daily departures. With its travel partners, Northwest serves nearly 750 cities in almost 120 countries on six continents.

[Edited 2004-04-05 23:32:55]
Free-thinking, left-leaning secularist
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 6:28 am

Go NWA Go !

Safe Flying  Smile
Florida Express, Braniff II and ......
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 6:37 am

89.9 % load factor on International flights in March is amazing, (and even more so a 85.7% factor over the 3 months of the quarter) but does not this suggest that perhaps quite a few flights are jammed to the gills and they may be leaving pax behind? At what point are you sacrificing your overall pax load and sending them to the competition?
The Original Coronado: First CV jet flights RG CV 990 July 1965; DL CV 880 July 1965; Spantax CV990 Feb 1973
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 10:15 am

or to WBC?

It would be really interesting to know.
The Widget Air Line :)
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 12:08 pm

good news, but did we make any money? That's all that matters
I don't care who you fly just as long as you fly
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 1:00 pm

Accoding to this page we will have to wait until 4/21 to learn if NW made any money.
The Widget Air Line :)
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 1:07 pm

We've had huge load factors on all my flights the past little while... except today was a bit low....great to see how well we are doing... rediculous if we cant make money like this. If we cant...somebody isnt playing the beans right.
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 3:51 pm

OK. Does anyone know what the breakeven LF is. I've not seen that published for a long time but I think it was 82% a year ago. A real big bite out of this is that fuel has almost doubled in price with no NW hedging plus how low are the tickets discounted to compete with LCCs and overseas wholesalers. Sure are a lot of middle seats used by uncomfortable passengers.
Less sarcasm and more thought equal better understanding
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RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 9:50 pm

You can haul 292 million people a day(population of USA). The question is if NW made money in any of the first three months of 2004. I have not as of this morning found that answer yet. Anybody know if they turned a dollar or not?
If two people agree on EVERYTHING, then one isn't necessary.

RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 9:52 pm

That makes two airlilnes with good numbers!!!

Topic Author
Posts: 2181
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 1999 11:05 pm

RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Tue Apr 06, 2004 10:28 pm

As stated above, we'll have to see if the traffic translates to profit. Between fuel costs and labor costs that are higher than the LCCs, plus the lack of pricing premium due to low-fare competition, even such a high load factor may not translate to profit.
Free-thinking, left-leaning secularist
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Joined: Mon Jan 28, 2002 11:45 am

RE: NW Traffic Stats Look Good

Wed Apr 07, 2004 3:44 am

I'll venture to say NW probably made a profit in March, based upon heavy spring break travel. However, remember last year, the bottom fell out toward the end of the month when the war in Iraq broke out in April 2003.

The question is whether the profit in March was larger than the losses in Jan & Feb. 1st quarter is traditionally the weakest of the year. Jan & Feb are slow while March significantly picks up.

The next week and a half will be real busy with the Easter holiday coming up too.

More or less, what the load factor means is that NW does a good job matching supply and demand, now whether or not thats at a suitable revenue level is another story.

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