It's really not a matter of if, but when.
Still, it won't happen overnight. I know, I'd love to see this or that Asian carrier flying their pretty planes into Lindbergh as much as the next person, but we've got to be realistic. San Diego and many similar-sized cities have had a run of pretty bad luck over the past few years. (I have already discussed reasons for British Airways' suspension numerous times. Please see http://www.airliners.net/discussions/general_aviation/read.main/1484093/6/
I don't believe San Diego will see a major increase in international service for at least another year. However, I am optimistic that within the next 5 years, San Diego will not only see a resumption of suspended routes (SAN
), but a plethora of new ones.
-Asia will no doubt occur, but it's hard to say by whom and exactly when. I would also assume that one of the two main Japanese carriers would be most likely, but it is also interesting to wonder whether any of the smaller Asian carriers, such as Korean Air, China Airlines, Cathay Pacific, (or even some of the mainland Chinese carriers) will have developed hub structures to accomodate SAN
sometime in the future.
One final factor to consider is the advent of the 7E7. The real beauty of Boeing's new plane is that it all but assures that cities like SAN
, and PHL
will all see service to Asia at some point. The 7E7 is nothing short of perfect for an intercontinental market such as SAN
, and personally, I would not be surprised if ANA actually happens to be the first entrant into the SAN
-Asia market in 2008/2009 with 7E7s.
Again, I cannot stress enough that SAN
-Asia will not happen overnight. But it will
happen. In the meantime, SAN
should concentrate on bringing back suspended routes, and continuing a very decent run of domestic expansion.