jetdeltamsy
Posts: 2688
Joined: Tue Nov 14, 2000 11:51 am

Where Will We Be In 3 Years?

Sat Jun 19, 2004 3:26 pm

Assuming the price of oil stays above $35 a barrel, what do you see happening in the US domestic industry?

Which companies will survive financially? How will they retool their operations to cope with LCC's? Will hub and spoke networks survive at all? What will happen to pay rates and benefits?

Will hubs close? Will fleets be grounded (i.e. MD80)? Will any carriers cease to exist? Which ones and why?

The author foresees DL/NW/CO cooperating very closely. DL will close it dfw hub. CO will close cle. Both will deploy those assets to operate point to point networks. UA and US will perish. AA will continue to be without a domestic network partner.
Tired of airline bankruptcies....EA/PA/TW and finally DL.
 
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TS-IOR
Posts: 3498
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2001 9:44 pm

RE: Where Will We Be In 3 Years?

Sat Jun 19, 2004 8:27 pm


I hope we will be in Heaven in 3 years !!!
 
Alessandro
Posts: 4962
Joined: Wed Sep 12, 2001 3:13 am

RE: Where Will We Be In 3 Years?

Sat Jun 19, 2004 10:21 pm

Down sizing is the main thing, perhaps Embraer will sell many airplanes in the future to the US domestic market?

From New Yorqatar to Califarbia...
 
luv2fly
Posts: 11056
Joined: Tue May 13, 2003 2:57 am

RE: Where Will We Be In 3 Years?

Sat Jun 19, 2004 10:39 pm

If any of us have the ability to see into the future then lets buy the winning big game lottery ticket.....
You can cut the irony with a knife
 
qr332
Posts: 2592
Joined: Tue Apr 13, 2004 11:16 pm

RE: Where Will We Be In 3 Years?

Sat Jun 19, 2004 10:45 pm

Luv2fly,
Only if it is shared out equally between us ofcourse...

But, on topic, I think UA will survive but US won't. I just don't see UA closing because they are in a much stronger position than US, who will be screwed quite soon as it seems.
"The greatest threat to knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge."
 
luv2fly
Posts: 11056
Joined: Tue May 13, 2003 2:57 am

RE: Where Will We Be In 3 Years?

Sat Jun 19, 2004 10:47 pm

QR332 I tend to agree about US over UA although I see UA downsizing to get it right. Also not sure about the sharing idea! You mentioned it first so your at the head of the list.
You can cut the irony with a knife
 
bjg231
Posts: 157
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 2:30 pm

RE: Where Will We Be In 3 Years?

Sun Jun 20, 2004 1:40 am

IMHO, I foresee US passenger numbers to finally return to health. Most if not all of the domestic mainlines and LCC's (who knows about Independence) will be posting small or large profits after the breakup of United, and those large CO and DL orders for 7e7's (now labeled the 787) will finally exist.


On another note, I give it about 1-2 more posts before someone makes a NW DC-9 joke.
If at first you don't succeed, then skydiving is not for you.

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