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Joined: Wed May 19, 1999 2:23 am

Year 2000-- Already Bad For Aviation?

Sun Feb 20, 2000 1:25 pm

With all this crashes (Alaska Airlines, Emery Worldwide, Kenya Airways, hijackings...) will the year 2000 be the worst year of aviation history? We´re still in February and we had such crashes as mentioned above...
What are your perspectives for 2000 and 2001???

RE: Year 2000-- Already Bad For Aviation?

Sun Feb 20, 2000 11:10 pm

As I write this, I notice that already nineteen people have read this topic without replying, so I guess that points out that this might just be an unpopular question.

There are plenty of reasons why this question might just be considered *slightly* oversimplified:

1.) Aircraft crashes do not follow a short-term pattern: their occurance is dominated by randomness rather than anything else. Therefore, there can be times when two or three crashes happen immediately after each other, but then nothing bad happens for months.

2.) In the past years, the tendency has been for air safety to improve, even if the rate of improvement is slowing down.

3.) 2000 is in no way special. It is just a number!

4.) No one can tell what happens in the future, or in the rest of this year

5.) Contrary to popular belief and media propaganda, planes do not usually crash. Accidents can happen. But in general, flying is safe! So do not predict doom looming over our beloved industry! (Wince, cry, howl)

Apart from all that, I'd say 2000 will be a year like any other, except for one thing: The possible return of airborne terrorism. Why oh why had the Indian government given in to those terrorists? They should have destroyed the plane a.s.a.p. and everyone would be safer. But I am not very popular with this statement among my friends...
CX Flyboy
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Joined: Sun Dec 26, 1999 6:10 pm

RE: Year 2000-- Already Bad For Aviation?

Sun Feb 20, 2000 11:20 pm

I must admit that there does seem to have been quite a few accidents. Unfortunately the media blows everything out of proportion, and despite statistics that show flying to be safe, the public don't seem to agree. I have a hell of a time telling my mum that it is safe, even though she gets scared everytime I fly, which is quite a lot.