If saying that I find some of your conclusions curious is "flying off the handle", then I guess you and I speak a different language.
Faremeasure is terrific, but not entirely reliable for what is happening this summer, since the data they presently use is from 3Q
Checking Travelocity (for this summer), the average lowest fare DEN
with specific dates that I could find (F9/UAL) is $386. There are cheaper fares with flexible dates, but these exact same flexible date, lower fares are offered by UAL as well. There are also cheaper fares offered by other airlines (HP), but not as non-stops.
"But hey, Frontier is also starting everything to Cancun..."
With all the new flights in place, by November, from all destinations, Frontier will have an average of 3 x daily flights to Cancun (it could be 3.2 x daily).
This compares with 7 x daily into the DC area, for example.
Fare wars like LAX
? Frontier started it. Did I say otherwise?
Increased summer service to the cities I cited? Yes, indeed. And it will reduce (somewhat) to some - stress "some" - of those cities for the Fall. Just as the Mexico/Florida frequencies go down for the summer and increase for the winter.
As I understand it, you are saying that Frontier can only get "leisure fares" as against UAL (or Alaska, say). "Leisure" fares are lower than "business fares", right? But since Frontier is supposedly the LCC and the other two are not, I would assume (hope?) that Frontier's lowest fares are lower.
It would be a very odd world if the LCC had the premium over the legacy carriers - although this does happen.
It is also, I suggest - stress "suggest" - a mistake to assume that the lowest fares offered represent all the fares sold.
I said that I found your conclusions curious. I still do. And I find your last line the most curious of all: when did I say you don't know what you are talking about?