I think the 7E7 will have a slow start at first, but then sell like hotcakes sort of like the 757 did in the 80s. ANA and the others that order before the production date will be the guinea pigs, then once it proves successful several will jump on the band wagon
in another thread announced that they are going to start retiring their A300s in 2008, oddly the same year that the 7E7 is supposed to start being delivered. As of right now, the 7E7 is the only Boeing that can carry the same amount of passengers and freight on the Carribean routes that the A300 can (yes the 777 can too, but its too big for those routes). I wouldn't be surprised if AA
ordered 35 in the next year or so, then once AA
seemed to be in good financial shape started later replacing 767-300s with them. Then use the smaller 7E7 to replace 757s around 2012 or so.
Delta: Yes would be an ideal 7E7 customer to replace the 767-300s which some are some of the oldest. Wasnt Delta the launch customer for the 300 back in the late 80s? I know some of the other 300s are barely 5 years old, but by the time the 7E7 comes out the some of the 300s will be over 20 years old. Delta could also buy the smaller version for its 757s in which some will be about 25 years old by then. I don't see Delta making any moves though until this financial crisis ends. If they get the right management though and turn the airline around like Bethune and Brenamen did for Continental within a year and a half after they took over, they started making new plane orders shortly after that. If Delta gets the right person in, I could see maybe an order within a couple of years.
United: Another possible customer to replace 757s and 767s once they get out of their troubles.
Northwest: I doubt, but there have been a lot of rumors about Boeing offering NW
deals by trading in their A330s for 7E7s. I don't see the point of that. I think Northwest instead should order the smaller 7E7 for 757 replacement in which some of those are getting to be around 20 years old. Northwest will probably fly the 757 as long as the DC-9 though.
USAirways: No way, they are Airbus all the way.
Continental: Bethune likes them, but what is the point when he has the newest fleet of all the legacy carriers, unless he has a lot of money to blow which he doesn't. Continental will eventually order the 7E7, but most likely not before it is already in service. Continental will probably start taking deliveries around 2012 or so if they order.
Southwest: HAHAHAHA ( they would really need a total change in management to do such a thing)
Jet Blue: Just as funny
Air Tran: Well now it is obvious that they are no longer going for a single fleet type like Southwest. I highly doubt it ever happening, but it definitely is more possible than Southwest. They definitely could fill one between Northeast and MCO
. But there is only about a 5% chance they would order one, but that is 5 better than WN
ATA: The most likely of the LCCs, although they can't afford it. It would be a good replacement for the L1011. I don't think a lot of people are comfortable flying a narrow body overseas like the 757-300. This would be better for military charters since it can carry more pax, more cargo and fly much furthur than the 757-300. ATA needs to get out of their financial problems, but they could perhaps lease about 5 for the purpose of military charters.
Alaska: I don't think that Alaska one day ordering a few would be such a wacky thought. Ten years ago who thought that Alaska Airlines would fly to Orlando and Miami? Those planes come in full too. Alaska would be a late orderer if they did.
Independence: No and they probably wont be around long enough to see their full Airbus order
Transmeridean: Maybe about 5 some day later on.