God if 9/11 didn't happen I would be interested as hell to see the out come of things. Even before 9/11 the UA
buying US was slight but still it would be funny to see how that one turned out. I think it's just that these are great airlines but they only shine when people are willing to spend $$ and with today's economy that's not going to happen.
In the end they offer what all the other majors don't thus causing a major decline in their numbers. And I think it will take shutting down for them to see that they can't be who they want to be.
The whole thing with UA
and their "Ok let's cut costs here and there". Yet at the same time they counter strike with New routes, "Flowers in first", New colors. All the wrong things they need to get out of CH
.11 successfully. US is facing this same issue as well.
had a leg up to start with b/c they are much larger but they will in the end be sitting there together at the end of the race sitting at the bank wondering why it says $0.00 and sometimes -$$. They used to be the big fish in the small pond but the pond just got a whole lot bigger and it looks like these guys are about to be eaten.
is just too friggen big to take down. CO
has a good mix of a/c and routes but nothing over the top. NW
is borderline good or bad for the next few years (we'll see by the end of Q2
US has bitten too much off and they can't take it. UA
has the right stuff to be successful in what they want but just don't know how to go about it. CO
is great where they are. NW
is just always going to be good. DL
is trying too much at once w/o the right stuff.
Therefor can we say that DL, UA, NW, AA troubles started... almost 20 years ago..? Then can we say that it has taken 20 for the "Legacy" carriers to self destruct.. A slow painful death of an old business model.....???
No we can't say that. The buying and building off of the little guys finally set in during the mid-90's say 10 year's ago. The only issue is that once they grew they didn't want to stop. If anything it's a quick death. 9/11 crippled the aviation industry sense day one. It's just that I think the airlines thought it was going to improve over time thus they kept doing what they wanted thinking that the travelers and economy would pick up.
But when you're running one direction and the banks going another you're SOL. If these airlines all had expandable sources of $$ then they'd be fine. Sure in a few years it'll pick back up but the airlines won't be there any more. New guys on the block will be there eating off the remains of the other guys. I can say that we can expect a surge of new airlines in about 5 years and then in a about 20-30years these new guys will be out and then another surge and then over and over again. Like one big food chain.
10 years from now will be very very interesting. All of the out comes of this will happen in the next 1-3 years but it will take 7 years for the repercussion of the results to finally set in................ Aviation as we know it has changed forever.
Sry if my info is off or off track. IM
JUST A 14year old COMMENTING ON
A BIG KID WORLD!