infiniti757
Posts: 90
Joined: Fri Jan 09, 2004 7:56 am

Manufacturers And LCCs With 1 A/C Type?

Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:12 pm

Was just watching Airline when a thought occurred to me. What will happen to the financial model of airlines with a single aircraft type when the manufacturer stops producing that type?

For instance: Boeing stops producing 737s and starts making 7X7s(making this up), Southwest has older 737s and needs to replace them.

How will SW and other single type carriers react?

Which aircraft manufacturer will best be able to take advantage of this and why?

Also, please don't make this A vs B, thanks guys.  Smile
Give me the luxuries in life and I will gladly do without the necessities. (Frank Lloyd Wright)
 
pilotpip
Posts: 2821
Joined: Fri Sep 19, 2003 3:26 pm

RE: Manufacturers And LCCs With 1 A/C Type?

Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:19 pm

It took nearly 20 years after production ended for the majors to stop flying the 727 and those still haven't been totally killed off. Had 9-11 not happened a few might still be using them. Parts are widely available and inexpensive because there were so many examples made.

The same will apply to 737s, and A320s years down the road when something new comes along. A manufacturer doesn't just stop supporting an old model when it quits making it so airlines like Southwest and Jet Blue have many, many years before they even start to think about this dillema.
DMI
 
SafetyDude
Posts: 3654
Joined: Fri Sep 07, 2001 10:02 am

RE: Manufacturers And LCCs With 1 A/C Type?

Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:23 pm

Well, the 737 will most likely develop into a 737-Advanced. At that point, if the 320-family is no longer a direct competitor, I am sure that Airbus would create a 320-Advanced.

Most likely, a customer will continue buying places from the manufacturer that it had been using, unless one company has a radically different plane.

 Smile
-Will
"She Flew For What We Stand For"
 
DfwRevolution
Posts: 8658
Joined: Sat Jan 09, 2010 7:31 pm

RE: Manufacturers And LCCs With 1 A/C Type?

Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:27 pm

WN is lucky in that they have a large, if not the largest, voice in how the next generation of 737, or whatever is to replace the 737, is to turn out. But airlines are usually content with this because by the time a design reaches the age that requires replacement, they are willing to invest in the next generation of tech. The convienience of a single fleet type is outweighed by the performance of newer aircraft.

And it isn't as if WN has it easy as pie with the 737. They have 4 737 variants with three engine types- the 737-200Adv with JT9Ds, the 737-300/500 with CFM-3, and the 737-700 with CFM-7
 
DfwRevolution
Posts: 8658
Joined: Sat Jan 09, 2010 7:31 pm

RE: Manufacturers And LCCs With 1 A/C Type?

Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:31 pm

Well, the 737 will most likely develop into a 737-Advanced.

It already exist  Big grin -


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I'd call it something like, 737-G4 or 737-IVG (fourth generation). I'd actually like to see a cleansheet design, but the 737's versatility and flexibility could stun us again.

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