I was wondering about everyone's opinions on the potential success of LCCs in Asia. I know that Air Asia has had success thus far and that some of the Japanese domestic LCCs have done ok. Plus, it has made some carriers like Singapore and Thai nervous enough to start their own LCCs. However, I keep wondering about the long range success for LCCs across Asia.
Specifically, do you ever see the LCCs seriously challenging many of the "Goliaths" in the area like Singapore, Cathay Pacific, JAL, ANA, Korean, etc? While some areas of SE Asia are quite accessible, as shown by Air Asia, I have a hard time believing that many of the major cities will be strongly effected. Take Hong Kong for instance. I know that Orient Thai serves HKG and that they are a LCC, but due to the operating costs at Chek Lap Kok (and airports like Kansei, Changi, Narita, etc.), what are the chances that many other low fare carriers would start major operations there. Macau is close by and Air Asia did begin service there, but with jetfoil service from Hong Kong to Macau still taking about an hour, do you think that many people from Hong Kong will travel to Macau to fly out? Does anyone know what the access into China is like for LCCs? What is going to happen in places like Bangkok when the new airport opens (is Don Maung still going to remain open and be a lower cost alternative or is it being closed?). What is the potential for getting someone wanting to fly from Hong Kong to Singapore to take a jetfoil to Macau, take a flight to Johur Bahru (via Bangkok), and then drive into Singapore? Granted SQ's lcc could fly nonstop from Macau to Selatar Field.
Anyway, I would be interested in hearing some opinions, details, or other bits of info about the LCCs in Asia. Thanks.