I am probably going to get slammed for this, especially since just about everyone on this board is blinded by their love of commercial aviation (even me, to a point). But I am going to say it anyway - is it possible that nobody will take up the slack at DFW
??? I will let you catch your breath.... Ok, imagine a world in which there is too much capacity - many more seats than butts willing to fill them. Isn't it obvious that we are in such a situation right now? I am not an insider, so I can't break out load factors and CPMs and the O&D traffic between DFW
for July to back up my argument, but I think it is worth considering. If that is the case, then DL
pulling out of DFW
is a rationalization of capacity, albeit a rather drastic one. My simplistic macro view of the airline industry tells me that it is necessary. There is so much overcapacity that nobody can even make a $5 fuel surcharge stick! FIVE LOUSY BUCKS!
was my home airport for many years, and I hate the thought of AA
being able to charge at will for their flights, but maybe there's not enough business for there to be a serious competitor at DFW
. As much as I hate to see DL
go, I think it is necessary to see some contraction (at least, and more likely bankruptcy for one or two airlines) before the US airline industry can get healthy again.
I am not suggesting for a minute that NOBODY will add any flights to try and pick up business that DL
is leaving behind, but I doubt that anyone will come in and replace DL
any more than anyone replaced AA
. (Remember all the "Who is going to replace AA
" threads?) There could be some more WN
flights out of DAL
, and Airtran could add a flight or two (or ten), and maybe Jet Blue will come to town... who knows??? It won't take long for someone to try to take advantage of AA
's excessive fares, and decide to move in and undercut them. I do doubt, though, that we will see another airline with the same size operation as DL
Ok, I will get off my soapbox now, and duck...