Flydc10, first I want to welcome you to a.net. I look forward to reading your posts and talking to you about aviation, our national carriers and other related topics. I trust that you will enjoy reading the threads and posting replies here as much as I have since I joined almost one year ago. So, again, welcome buddy!
It is hard to do "futurology" but I guess that MX
will be owned by separate owners and will compete aggressively against each other. Hopefully their new owners will be careful with the finances of the companies but will be true entrepreneurs willing to take some risks in order to expand them. In terms of fleet, I think AM
will own ERJ regional jets (AeroLitoral) and will have a simple mainline fleet of 73W's, 767ER's and 772ER's... perhaps some Mad Dogs will still be around but not for long. MX
, on the other hand, will have a narrowbody fleet of A32x's (I don't know what QA
will operate, though, or if it will continue to exist) and, hopefully, several A340's (A345's and A346's would be nice, although I won't complain if it gets A343e's instead)... maybe a couple of 763ER's will also be used for some flights. JR
might not make it much longer so I don't think it will still be around in 6 years... however, it has proved to be very resilient and die-hard, so it may surprise us. 6A
will hopefully be bigger and as healthy as it is now. Perhaps by then 6A
will offer 2-class service and a traditional f.f. program and offer several routes to foreign airports. The real icing on the cake with respect to 6A
, though, would be if their fleet is renovated as well as their livery and corporate identity. As for ZE, I think they can and must change now that fresh capital has been injected to the company by its new investors. They would do right to try to emulate the success of Gol in Brazil... an all-737 fleet is what I see for them in the future, although it might also get some 752's for some flights. VW
is probably going to still be around since it is a niche carrier that caters to business travelers who need to go to cities forgotten by AM
Do not discard acquisitions among the different airlines after MX
are sold separately if the fuel prices go down, the economy starts to expand and the airlines start becoming profitable.
It will be real interesting to read what other a.netters foresee for our aviation industry.
Good night all!