ANA is re-introducing domestic superseat (equivalent to US first class) back into their 763s this winter, so 7E7s may not be one-class. ANA has gone back and forth on premium class on 767-size aircraft, so until the first commercial flight takes place, it is still up in the air.
With the current situation at NRT
, I would doubt NRT
will go 7E7 as that would mean yet another capacity cut (currently it's 772ER with 744 subbed on occasions). The firm order will not change but the types break-down could be amended in the future depending on the situation/traffic of the Japanese airports around 2010.
1) If everything goes well at NGO
, ANA could start a few int'l runs from NGO
to say China, Asia, LAX
, or other Star Alliance hub routes.
2) If no further expansion is done at NRT
, there will be no need for 7E7-8s there except to replace the 763ERs. The 20 7E7-8s could be converted to 7E7-3s.
3) If HND
gets the fourth runway and large scale int'l routes are allowed, then 744D can be replaced with 7E7s to introduce half-hourly flights on the busy HND
corridors plus we may see intercontinental flying with 7E7-8. Another scenario is that int'l flying out of HND
will be limited to a 2,000 nm radius similar to what's done at NYC's LGA
As a sidenote, ANA ordered 18 321 in the mid-1990s and ended up taking only 7, converted three into 320, cancelled the rest, and those are now slated for retirement in a few years. Anticipating expansion at NRT
, ANA also ordered 5 A343 which they ended up canceling because they ended up going with the 772ER instead.
Anything could happen in the next 4 years plus, so we can throw around a lot of ideas. Also four years ago did we anticipate anything like 9-11 or SARS?