Firstly, I think it sounds awesome but I have my doubts that it will happen.
Okay, so MX
was back in the black for fiscal year 2004 (and expects to stay that way from now on). And, sure, MX
is one of Airbus' darlings in Latin America.
The question is, will MX
afford to acquire two, three, four A350's when it is in the middle of enlarging its A32X fleet and has been in the red for the past few fiscal years? Okay, so the A350 is still years and years away and MX
would not need to pay for it(them) now, but I think the question still holds. And is it in MX
's best interest to get the type when its only long-haul route is MEX
and the A350 would be too much airplane (in terms of range) for this route?
Let's talk about Asia. Apparently flying to Europe is no longer a plan for MX
. It seems that the powers to be at CINTRA decided Europe is for AM
only. So that leaves us with Asia. Can the A350 fly non-stop MEX
? I am sure that the prospected range will be sufficient, but then we have to consider the strong headwinds when crossing the Pacific and the high altitude of MEX
. Let's suppose range is not an issue. MX
would not only need to make the decision to fly to Asia first, but it would need to evaluate whether an A350 can be adequately filled. Is it too big a plane for starting a new route that nobody has ever done before and that, therefore, nobody can tell for sure how it would work? Another factor: no matter how cozy MX
and Airbus are, MX
would need to consider and evaluate, if its management is smart and reasonable, whether the 7E7 could offer better economics than the A350 for its specific needs.
So, sorry if I made more questions than gave answers, but as much as I would love MX
to be LatAm's launch customer of the A350, I feel I must exercise some common sense here.
EDIT: I think NAVEGA meant that Airbus wants a Latin American "launch" customer too. Or, in other words, in addition to UX, Airbus wants MX to be one of the first carriers to order the type. In this sense, Airbus may also be looking for a U.S. carrier and for an Asian carrier to be "launch" customers together with a European airline (UX) and a Latin American carrier.
[Edited 2005-01-08 06:44:04]
Upcoming AM MEX-LAX 73H, VA LAX-MEL 77W.