Qantasclub
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Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 6:40 am


Sorry to add to the ever growing list of A380 hot topics, but I was just through Heathrow yesterday and it amazed me that BA hasn't as yet ordered any A380. Costs aside, a large capacity aircraft such as the 380 would make perfect sense for the largest airline operating out of the most slot constrained airport in the world. Moreover, BA's 744 fleet is beginning to age, with no replacements in sight. If they DO order the A380 eventually, delivery won't be until way after 2010 at the current rate of production which means BA;s fleet will look comparatively ancient next to the gleaming new A380s of SQ, QF and VS.
Long Haul is the only way to go
 
dogfighter2111
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 6:43 am

Non Profitable!!!!



That's all i can say. BA use B744 a/c because they are 'flexible'. A380 a/c are to large to land at most of BA's destination airports.

Dog
 
M27
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 6:50 am

Gigneil:

Here is your chance to say

BA has said they are not going to order it, and that you don't know why it keeps coming up.
 
leelaw
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 6:51 am

This subject was kicked around extensively in a recent thread:

http://www.airliners.net/discussions/general_aviation/read.main/1917266/6/
Lex Ancilla Justitiae
 
EMBQA
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 6:56 am

Simple...Because their current fleet is adequate for their market plan.
"It's not the size of the dog in the fight, but the size of the fight in the dog"
 
Thrust
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 7:16 am

If the 747 Advanced gets approved by Boeing this week, you can conclude that BA will not order the A380. If the 747 Advanced is not approved, BA will probably eventually order the A380.
Fly one thing; Fly it well
 
GDB
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 8:19 am

It is not true to say that BA have ruled out the A380, in last week's BA News Rod Eddington said nothing of the sort, where do these myths come from?

What he did say is that BA are not ordering any aircraft for the foreseeable future, nothing new in that, it's been fact for 3 years.
BA's average fleet age is 8 years, BA has massive debts to clear, BA will first order a 757/767 replacement, for around 2010, clearly between the A350 and 7E7.

A recent comment by a member of BA's fleet planning department, pointed out that when the time comes to replace B747-400's, probably the original G-BNL- batch onwards delivered from 1989, Airbus will be keen to break into the BA longhaul fleet, which will inform their marketing and pricing.

BA has no trouble operating aircraft maybe older than competitors, we happily operated B747-100's right to the end of the 1990's, aircraft that were delivered from 1970 onwards, so if BA desire to wait for A380, if they want to, that's fine.

But BA have issues to sort out, they were probably hurt more that any non US airline by Sept 11th, BA had to (unlike US majors) pay for enhanced security themselves, BA have no Chapter 11 to fall back on, get in the shit like Alitalia? Then BA are on there own, no handouts.

LHR, being the crowded place it is, will probably see eventually A380's in BA colours, even if some sort of 747adv is launched, which BA might buy as well.
But a 757/767 replacement comes first, but not for a few years, if you are waiting for new BA aircraft orders, you've a long wait.

But I don't see BA A380's in the numbers similar to the 747-436 fleet, BA do like frequency, but as air travel keeps on expanding, as LHR becomes more crowded, the case for a BA A380 will probably become stronger, particulary if 747adv does not match A380 capacity, even in any stretched form.
Though 747adv would be a logical replacement for maybe much of the 747-436 fleet.


 
Planesmart
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 8:38 am

Eddington has stated BA do not plan to buy aircraft in the immediate future. He has not said BA will not acquire aircraft.
 
M27
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 8:43 am

Has SQ said they would not order the 7E7?
 
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BALandorLivery
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 8:52 am

They are stuggling to fill their 747's on some routes (friend of mine a BA 744 captain told me that).

The A380 gives more capacity than they need right now.

Also it would be a lot simpler to order the 747ADV because it would compliment and eventually replace 744's.

Also as has been mentioned the A380 can't operate into a great deal of airports that BA might want to use it on.

Right now it just aint gravy baby.
 
airbazar
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 10:44 am

Also as has been mentioned the A380 can't operate into a great deal of airports that BA might want to use it on.

Of all the excuses I hear, this one I don't buy it. An A380 can operate to just about any airport a 747 can. All this talk about airports not being ready is nothing but cosmetic fixes and excuses to extract money from tax payers. Expensive fixes are needed, yes, but they're mostly cosmetic ones. If it can land and take off, then it can serve that airport. If it doesn't fit at the gate, then use a remove bay and shuttle the passengers by bus. So what if it takes a little longer. You wanna talk slow? Try clearing immigration at BOS  Smile

 
airgeek12
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 11:08 am

great replys already... i do think it is because the 744s are flexible for BA and the a380 won't be able to fly into alot of their destinations.
 
yhz78
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 7:18 pm

Unless I am mistaken BA doesn't operate any Airbus widebodies so is it possible that they want to stay Boeing in this regard to lower maintenance and training costs and things of this nature?
Canada Rocks! From the west coast to the best coast!
 
United Airline
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 7:21 pm

BA's B 747-400s are still very new. They need not be replaced anytime soon.

Should they need replacement BA will probably order the B 747 Advanced and replace them on a one to one basis.

 
BCAL
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Fri Jan 28, 2005 11:30 pm

We will need someone from the BA Board to tell us the reasons why BA has not yet ordered (or if they will order) the A380. However, judging from scraps of information available it seems that the following might all be contributory factors:

  • BA has no immediate need to replace their long-haul fleet. Their 744s are relatively new and will see out their long-haul requirements for a few years

  • BA is more concerned about reducing their debt. This is important for an airline that has no Chapter 11 protection to fall back on, no handouts or subsidies from the government or EEC, and had to pay for their own security (as already mentioned in a previous reply to this thread)

  • BA is not typically the launch customer of any aircraft

  • BA is a public limited company (PLC) and it would have to convince their shareholders of their need to acquire new aircraft when its fleet is moderately young

  • BA tends to prefer to offer frequency of flights - currently they offer ten daily flights between London and New York. If they had A380s, could they offer this frequency?

  • With no immediate need for a long-haul replacement, they could be waiting for decisions regarding the 747 Adv or perhaps the 7e7



However, http://www.airliners.net/discussions/general_aviation/read.main/1917266/6/indicates that there are vibes from BA that they are seriously considering the A380.


[Edited for link]





[Edited 2005-01-28 15:32:31]
MOL on SRB's latest attack at BA: "It's like a little Chihuahua barking at a dying Labrador. Nobody cares."
 
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RayChuang
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 12:36 am

Given that BA already has most of the choice landing slots at LHR, I don't think they'll need to buy the A380-800 anytime soon. This is especially true for their route to JFK, a route that emphasizes more frequency of service than sheer capacity per plane. Why do you think BA is flying both 747-400's and 777-200ER's on this route?
 
OHLHD
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 12:40 am

They will order them, to certain amount, since they will need to compete on some major routes with QF, VS and SQ.

I highly doubt that it will be more than 20.

 
AlanUK
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 1:41 am

OHLHD

Although I believe BA will eventually order the A380, I can't see why people say "they will need to compete on some major routes with QF, VS and SQ"... When it comes to competition, it's what IN the plane that counts, not what plane it is!!!
 
leelaw
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 1:56 am

"When it comes to competition, it's what IN the plane that counts, not what plane it is!!!

The A380 chauvanists would argue that certain luxury ammenties and services can only be economically "in" a plane with the floor space and operating economics of the A380. Time will tell whether the paradigm becomes the flying cruiseship or cattle car.
Lex Ancilla Justitiae
 
jacobin777
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 1:58 am

BCal....check out replay 82 (its the last post as of right now)..

http://www.airliners.net/discussions/general_aviation/read.main/1917266

here is BAxMan's repost..................this might answer your question....

BAxMAN
From United Kingdom, joined May 2004, 116 posts, RR: 0
Reply: 82
Posted Wed Jan 26 2005 01:21:23 UTC+1 and read 321 times:
A brief statement by Neil Cottrell (Fleet Planning Manager at BA) on the BA intranet went as follows:

In BA configurations a 747 has 291-351 seats and an A380 448-499 seats. If we look at a like-for-like comparison by comparing running costs per square metre of floor area (excluding ownership costs) then the A380 is 15-20% cheaper than a 747. However there are two other important considerations. Firstly if one considers ownership costs then the total costs per square metre of operating a brand new A380 is roughly the same as operating an older 747 as ownership costs of an older 747 are much lower. Secondly any airline buying the A380 has to fill the extra seats at a good yield to make as good a return as on a 747.

Past work has suggested that it is important to offer frequency to our longhaul passengers and it is unlikely that we will replace two 747s with one A380 as this will reduce both total seats on the route and frequency.

It is true that there are often good deals to be had as a launch carrier - however if we do look to buy the A380 we shouldn't underestimate the power of a competition between Boeing and Airbus to replace our 747s. Airbus would be very keen to break into the BA longhaul fleet so I'd expect some very competitive prices. It is also true that later deliveries are likely to be more refined than launch deliveries with teething problems ironed out and probably less aircraft weight as Airbus engineers learn about the true performance of the aircraft.

There have been a number of comments about no-frills carriers flying 800 passengers. BA makes most of its money on longhaul from premium products - many passengers want comfort on a longhaul flight. A carrier carrying 800 passengers is going to find it very challenging to fill the seats consistently at a high enough yield to make any sort of decent return - it will also be difficult to turn an 800 passenger aircraft round very quickly.

There are also a number of comments on gyms etc on A380s. Any such exotic products need to pay for themselves and that means getting passengers to pay a premium consistently for such products - past experience suggests that putting more seats in is a better way of gaining revenue.

Finally, fleet planning will look at the A350 and 7E7 as well but I can assure everyone that no new jobs will be created to see if we can afford any of these aircraft.

So pretty much non-commital, sitting on the fence sort of stuff really, as well as discrete dismissal of VS propoganda to turn their planes into entertainment centres cum mass transit device."



"Up the Irons!"
 
BCAL
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:16 am

Jacobin777

Thanks for pointing me to the thread post. It certainly answers the question and I feel that BA is right.

Cheers
BCal

MOL on SRB's latest attack at BA: "It's like a little Chihuahua barking at a dying Labrador. Nobody cares."
 
DAYflyer
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:26 am

We'll see what they do. I would bet they eventually order it due to the number of passengers crossing the pond into London from places like NY. I would be very surprised if they went for the 747 Adv unless they had serious input into the upgrades, seating capacity and so forth.
One Nation Under God
 
gigneil
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:27 am

BA has said they are not going to order it, and that you don't know why it keeps coming up.

Heh they did say they weren't going to order it right now... but not that they never would.

A380 a/c are to large to land at most of BA's destination airports.

*presses bullshit buzzer*

If the 747 Advanced gets approved by Boeing this week, you can conclude that BA will not order the A380.

The 747Advanced isn't advanced enough for BA to ever replace their 744s with it, nor is it a big improvement in capacity.

great replys already... i do think it is because the 744s are flexible for BA and the a380 won't be able to fly into alot of their destinations.

Bullshit replies already. *presses bullshit buzzer again*

BA flies 744s tip to tip on many major routes. They could use the plane. Clearly, they won't be getting rid of the 744.

The A380 can fly into every airport they would need it to.

N
 
ushermittwoch
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:31 am

The problem will just be that a lot of airlines on the Kangaroo Route, as well as to NRT (VS) or HKG will be able to offer more capacity, which would reduce ticket costs and then I doubt that BA will be able to hold up that competition for all too long, especially given that two of the carriers, Cathay Pacific and Qantas, are actually One World members so the argument of FF miles and what not is obsolete.
Where have all the tri-jets gone...
 
aerosol
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:48 am

I think it has to do with the British philosophy. See how it works then join. Was the same with EC, A320, Euro (future). And that is not meant as criticism. This is simply a conservative approach to matters.

Sooner or later they will order, because I can not imagine them having only the 2nd biggest plane @ home  Smile.
 
mtnmanmakalu
Posts: 493
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RE: Why Hasn't BA Ordered The A380

Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:51 am

They probably don't want it as it will "Ugly down" their entire fleet !!!!  Big grin
I do, I don't, whatever.......

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