BA are not ordering any aircraft, and won't be until a 767 replacement is required from around 2010.
After that, attention will turn to the older 747-436's, if BA
see the need to have a direct replacement, which they probably will, at the moment it has to be A380.
Unless 747adv has been launched and given BA
's policy now of not being a launch customer, it will have had to have been by plenty of others by then, we are assuming here it will be launched?
(Sorry if it that seems odd, but we've been here before in 1996/7 and in 2001, noises from Boeing about upgrading the 747 followed by.......nothing).
Boeing can, as they did recently, send as many reps to BA
to talk about 747adv as they like, BA
won't be a launch customer for it or any other type.
Both planemakers send these people to keep BA
abreast of developments anyway.
Personally, despite service entry for any BA
747 replacement being probably a decade away, I think A380 has to have the edge, LHR
is a crowded place, most of BA
's competitors, apart from US carriers, on long haul will have them too.
is in no hurry, they happily operated 747-136's right up to 1999, when some were nearly 30 years old.
Now a launched B747adv might have a place in BA
's fleet, for routes when an increase in seats is not required, or just a small increase, but if BA
sees the need for a bigger expansion of seats on some routes (probably not N.American ones though where frequency will be more important), then A380 has the edge, assuming a period of stability and good profitability over years for BA
, you might see both types eventually in BA
picks 787 as a 767 replacement, and 747adv has similar engines and other areas in common with 787, that will help Boeing)
Many of BA
's 747-436 fleet are much younger than the initial batch delivered from 1989 as well.