Who knows what can happen?
I think that Aerolineas (If they get their act straight) will go for the A-319's and the reason is that it already has the A-340's. Since they have common cockpit types then it will make sense to go with the family. Just like Lan Chile did!
It is difficult to say what the Mexican airlines will do.
AeroMexico is closer to Boeing because they already purchase their 757's and 767's products. The MD-80 fleet is about 10 years old average. So at this time it's not that important, but the DC-9's are getting old but they are very well maintained.
Mexicana already operates some 15 Airbus A320's, and their 727-200 which were purchased new in the late 70's and early 80's are getting pretty old. They are very close to retirement age.
I don't know but this is my theory! Don't take my word for it.
Both Airlines will be sold of by the Mexican goverment. Possible bidder for AeroMexico. Offcourse Delta. Delta will advise AeroMexico to purchase Boeing. AeroMexico will go for the 717 and NG 737
Mexicana will also be sold off, and possible bidders are the members of the Star alliance. Maybe United and Lufthansa. Who knows? They will go with Airbus.
And something that I have been thinking about lately. Mexico just signed a free trade agreement with the EU.
and it also has the free trade agrement with the U.S. Which leads me to believe that the Mexican gov. will split the order evenly so that it satisfies both parties. Mexicana with Airbus and AeroMexico with Boeing.
Who knows? time will tell.
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