I think you have a lot to choose from. Maybe you can't get data from airlines but you could maybe do interviews and review scheduling. You could gather data yourself on frequency by focusing on routes to smaller international markets and looking through airline schedules past and present.
Maybe the rise of LCCs in SE
Asia would be another idea. You have inter-Asia flights which is still on the edge of an explosive growth. You have economic growth in some countries that before were not even viable destinations.
There is such a potential for business expansion. Unlike Europe where you have massive numbers of intra-europe and competition from trains. Unlike the U.S. and Canada where you have a requirement of flight because a lack of options and size. Asia is predominately traveled by plane as train and car are not viable between most nations. You have the Himalayas and lots of water. Not to mention political issues. You can't take a train from Singapore to China easily.
Most flights in Asia are still operated by "legacy" type carriers. There are only a handfull of LCCs. Many cannot get slots or permission to do longer-haul inter-asia routes. You have the opening of China. Maybe flights direct to central china without stopping off in CAN
, or PVG
Inter-asia routing threads die quickly on A.net as most people wouldn't give a rats ass. If it goes to LHR
...it is a nice long thread. However in the world of commercial aviation, it has the most potential.
I live in Nagoya. It is never going to be as big as KIX
. But we will most likely see JL
use their 787s here as it is a thin market that demands point-to-point. You might see CO
using their 787s here as well. However most flights in and out of NGO
are 300 person or smaller planes. They are 767s, A330s, A300s, 757s, A320s, and 737s.
As for data, maybe you want to try and get a hold of older schedules for a few airlines and compare them. Look at the history for the last 10 years. Compare routes, equipment, mergers, and political events. All of these contribute to the success and failure of routes, in my opinion. It is not so much about population, but demand and how to meet that demand and be successful.
Hope it helps. I am a social studies teacher and curriculum developer, business is not my strong point. May have been a little disorganized and maybe even a little confusing but... they are just ideas.
My name is Centrair but HND is closer. Let's Japanese Aviation!