|Quoting AirFrnt (Reply 38):|
What a lot of people fail to forget is that Airbus is still at least partially owned by the governments of Europe. I would expect them to scream bloody murder about jobs being moved to China.
In all cases, it will never be presented as a transfer of production capabilities but rather additional capabilities, which makes sense given the trend today on single aisle airbus FALs. Not a single politician would be suicidal enough to present this as "yes, we will create a FAL in China to eventuallu shut down the one in TLS
"...Even if it might be proven true later.
I have at least 4 questions, for which answers would help refining the "China FAL" scenario...
1/ When would the FAL be up and running ?
2/ production rate objectives ? if we talk about 4 A/C a month or 40 this does not mean the same future for FAL in Europe.
3/ Future of the A320 ?
4/ FAL to build only current A320 ?
As long as I do not get answers for this, it is tough to unmask the plot....
My feeling is :
Current A32X FAL are nearing max capacity or will be in the next couple of years, despite all optimization efforts.
It could make sense to have additional capacity around 2009 if the production rates remain constant or even increase.
I would imagine the FAL would produce marginal numbers of A/C to start with.
The FAL thing has been in the boxes the past ten years or so. You do not get business for free in China. On the other hand, I could see it as a means to outsource part of the production, but prefer for now to view it as a mandatory step to make in order to have a fair share of the cake plus needed additional capacity in the short term...So all in one, not a bad move, even if we still have to discover the real intents behind this...