LAXDESI
Topic Author
Posts: 2775
Joined: Sat May 14, 2005 8:13 am

Airline Market Share In India

Wed Mar 08, 2006 10:33 am

Interesting article on market share of airlines in India based on January 2006 data. Jet-Sahara combine at 46%, Indian at 25%, Deccan at 13%, Kingfisher at 8%, and Spice at 6%. Annual airline seat inventory expected to be in excess of 50 million in 2006. Link:
http://www1.economictimes.indiatimes...leshow/msid-1442283,curpg-3.cmsta.

Quotes:
The new generation carriers appear to have got off to a roaring start this year, with their market share climbing to 28-29% in January ’06, as against Jet Airways’ 35%, IA-CD’s (Indian/Alliance Air) 25%, and Air Sahara’s 11.5%. Last year, the lone start-up, Air Deccan, was holding its own with about 7% market share, which it has nearly doubled to 13.3% this year, according to industry estimates. Kingfisher, which has been on a rapid aircraft acquisition mode, has a market share of nearly 8%, while Spicejet’s share stands at 6%.

Interestingly, while the biggest domestic airline, Jet Airways, has lost market share, it has gained significantly in actual passenger carriage, and maintained its passenger load factor. This January, the aviation landscape has several new colours to its credit. There are eight airlines fighting for a slice of action on a larger playground as against four. The available seat inventory is said to be around 39% higher at an estimated 1,12,000 this year. In February, with carriers such as Air Deccan, Kingfisher Airlines, Go Air and Paramount increasing capacity, industry analysts expect the inventory to be in the region of 1,25,000-1,28,000 seats a day.

With all start-ups planning significant increases in capacity this year — Kingfisher (fleet may rise to 20 planes), Deccan (38 planes), Spicejet (12/14 planes), Go (7/9 planes) and Paramount (10 planes) — the market is set to sizzle.
 
15a
Posts: 57
Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 10:34 am

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Wed Mar 08, 2006 3:05 pm

Interesting link on the jet airways site on their estimate of the market, their view on "Low fare" carriers and on the sahara merger.
They of course do tout the fact that they have held onto their seat factors.
Interesting reading.
http://www.jetairways.com/NR/rdonlyr...00/0/InvestorConference_Mumbai.pdf
 
LAXDESI
Topic Author
Posts: 2775
Joined: Sat May 14, 2005 8:13 am

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Wed Mar 08, 2006 10:31 pm

Thanks 15A for the link. I noticed from the link that they are losing money on international operations so far.
 
Gr8Circle
Posts: 2378
Joined: Fri Dec 02, 2005 11:44 am

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Wed Mar 08, 2006 10:59 pm

Quoting LAXDESI (Thread starter):
Interesting article on market share of airlines in India based on January 2006 data. Jet-Sahara combine at 46%, Indian at 25%, Deccan at 13%, Kingfisher at 8%, and Spice at 6%.

I assume this is domestic traffic only.....the above add up to 98% - is the balance 2% accounted for by AI? Doesn't that seem quite low for AI, considering that they carry domestic pax on all their int'l flights which pass thru DEL, HYD, AMD, BLR and MAA to and from BOM?
 
jacobin777
Posts: 12262
Joined: Sat Sep 11, 2004 6:29 pm

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Thu Mar 09, 2006 12:09 am

IndigoAir's 100 Airbus order will also add extra capacity......

I think its only a matter of time before one sees more consolidation
"Up the Irons!"
 
karan69
Posts: 2699
Joined: Mon Oct 04, 2004 7:57 pm

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Thu Mar 09, 2006 4:47 am

Quoting Gr8Circle (Reply 3):
is the balance 2% accounted for by AI?

The 2% is Probably Paramount airlines---and AI is not included as it is not considered a domestic carrier---as the several passengers you mentioned are those which are transferring to or from international flights.
 
LAXDESI
Topic Author
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Joined: Sat May 14, 2005 8:13 am

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:24 am

Quoting Karan69 (Reply 5):
The 2% is Probably Paramount airlines---and AI is not included as it is not considered a domestic carrier-



Quoting Gr8Circle (Reply 3):
assume this is domestic traffic only.....the above add up to 98% - is the balance 2% accounted for by AI?

I guess the 2% should include both Paramount and Go Air. AI domestic numbers were execluded as per the article.
 
LAXDESI
Topic Author
Posts: 2775
Joined: Sat May 14, 2005 8:13 am

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:36 am

My projections for January 2007 based on speed of new route announcements, aircraft deliveries, and time it would take for Jet/Sahara to complete the merger:

Jet-Sahara 40%(-6%)
Indian 22%(-3%)
Deccan 16%(+3%)
Kingfisher 10%(+2%)
Spice 7%(+1%)
Others 5%(+3%)

The numbers in parenthesis show gain/loss from current market share. Others category includes Go, Paramount, and Indigo. Please share your projections.

[Edited 2006-03-09 02:38:57]
 
Gr8Circle
Posts: 2378
Joined: Fri Dec 02, 2005 11:44 am

RE: Airline Market Share In India

Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:44 pm

Quoting Karan69 (Reply 5):
The 2% is Probably Paramount airlines---and AI is not included as it is not considered a domestic carrier---as the several passengers you mentioned are those which are transferring to or from international flights.

Well, AI do have special night saver fares on domestic sectors of int'l flights, which are used by a lot of purely domestic pax....I guess they would atleast account for 1% of pure domestic traffic....

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