Azul320
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Future Of B6 In AUS

Wed Apr 05, 2006 1:17 pm

Does B6 have any plans to expand out of AUS besides the E190 3x JFK and 1x BOS? The flights go out out full or nearly full everyday. Perhaps they will upgrade equipment or add service to possibly IAD or will AUS continue to be a smaller station for B6 without plans for expansion?

Please submit your expertise...
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dolphinflyer
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Wed Apr 05, 2006 9:50 pm

I'll be curious to see if B6 decides to go head-to-head against AA on the AUS-SJC route. Could be interesting competition. However, B6 doesn't yet have any E190 a/c on the West Coast; not sure if they'd want to make AUS the conduit for flowing those a/c to the West Coast.
 
akjetBlue
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Wed Apr 05, 2006 10:51 pm

Curious, are their additional gates for B6 to grow into in AUS? There are a ton of rumors about AUS floating around the mill that we will expand there but nothing is yet to be set in stone.
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WMUPilot
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Wed Apr 05, 2006 10:57 pm

AUS will be recieving an A320 turn this month I believe. This is mainly because of the high loads. So if AUS keeps filling us up we may add another flight or 2. But as far as I know there is nothing in the works right now.
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dolphinflyer
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:25 am

AUS-SEA could be another good potential market for B6. With over 150 PPDEW and no present nonstop service, 1-2 daily nonstop flights on the route should perform well, esp. using the E190 a/c.
 
WMUPilot
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:34 am

The E190s won't be making an apperance on the west coast until we can work out all the software issues with the plane. But I have heard rumors that with in the next 3 or 4 years they may start making their way out ot California. Nothing concrete yet though.
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LoneStarMike
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:08 am

I don't know what kind of yields B6 is getting in AUS, but as far as load factor goes, they seem to be doing fairly well.

You can go to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics and look at the on time summary statistics for B6 in AUS to determine how many flights B6 operated in and out of AUS for the month.

Choose "origin Airport" and when that screen comes up, enter AUS for the airport and JetBlue for the airline in the drop-down tables. Then enter your date range. (ex: January 19 through January 31, 2006). The table that comes up will sub total B6 flights at the bottom (51) That's how many departures B6 operated from AUS in January.

Then go back and do the same thing only this time choose "destination airport" and repeat the above process. B6 had 52 arrivals at AUS in January for a total of 103 total flights.

Multiply 103 total flights by 100 seats on each flight and you come up with 10,300 available B6 seats in and out of AUS during the month of January.

Then, you can go here to see how many B6 passengers traveled in and out of AUS by month. In January, B6 flew 6,406 passengers in and out of AUS.

6,405 passengers flown divided by 10,300 available seats = 62.18% load factor - not bad for the first 13 days of new service by a new carrier.

Statistics for February show much improvement.

There were 112 departures and 112 arrivals for a total of 224 JetBlue flights at AUS in February which translates into 22,400 available seats. JetBlue carried 17,1777 passengers at AUS in February.

17, 177 passengers divided by 22,400 available seats = 76.68% B6 AUS load factor for February.

Historically, January and February aren't busy months for AUS, but March is usually the second or third busiest month, so it will be interesting to see what B6's AUS loads are for March. Should be about another month before that info comes out.

LoneStarMike

 
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:30 am

Quoting Dolphinflyer (Reply 4):
AUS-SEA could be another good potential market for B6.

That would be a dangerous move for B6. Neither AUS or SEA has B6 MX available, nor many spare units should a MX situation occur. If you take a look at most of the flights that B6 does, at least one of the destinations is a MX city (JFK, LGA, EWR, BOS, BUF, IAD, FLL, MCO, PBI, TPA, LGB, OAK) or in very close proximity to one (like BUR is close to LGB). AUS and SEA are VERY far away from the nearest MX city hence causing a massive delay in waiting for a ferry flight along with the cost of it, or massive costs to purchase or borrow the part from another airline.
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RE: Future Of B6 In AUS

Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:31 am

Quoting WMUPilot (Reply 3):
AUS will be recieving an A320 turn this month I believe.

Really? Good news and plays into B6's plans to seed markets with the E-jets and when appropriate grow them to the A320. If only the E190 had a little more range. Why? Routes that need downsizing (e.g., sacramento-IAD) could still be maintained. (Ok, maybe the yeild on my example was too poor too.)

Quoting Dolphinflyer (Reply 4):
AUS-SEA could be another good potential market for B6. With over 150 PPDEW and no present nonstop service, 1-2 daily nonstop flights on the route should perform well, esp. using the E190 a/c.

150PPDEW, no direct and probably high fares...  scratchchin  Yep, probably a great market to launch!

Quoting WMUPilot (Reply 5):
The E190s won't be making an apperance on the west coast until we can work out all the software issues with the plane. But I have heard rumors that with in the next 3 or 4 years they may start making their way out ot California. Nothing concrete yet though.

 checkmark  Also, I believe B6 is concentrating the E190's on the east coast to cut fleet expenses. Until there are enough E190's in the fleet to reach economies of scale in all regions, the E190's should be kept on the east coast. I don't expect to see west coast E190's before 2008. Maybe even later.  Sad But I can hope to be suprised.  bigthumbsup 

B6 also needs to develop far more mid-America markets to facilitate shuffeling E190's to and from the two coasts. Otherwise, fleet planning will be a nightmare. Until we no longer see a mid-America hole in B6's route-map, I just cannot see good E190 economics here out west just because of the fact each coast's fleet of E190's would be "trapped" on whatever coast they're based. Only with many revenue stops in mid-America could the fleet be moved about. (Be it MX, seasonal route shifting... whatever.) Maybe B6 will just have to finally start that ORD service.  Wink

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