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Joined: Thu Aug 16, 2001 11:37 am

Troubled Waters For Aerorepublica

Thu Apr 13, 2006 1:05 pm

Copa Holdings (NYSE CPA) released the March results for there airlines CM and P5.

For the month of March 2006, Copa Holdings' system-wide passenger traffic (RPM) increased 23.6%, while capacity (ASM) increased 22.8%. System load factor for March 2006 reached 71.1%, an increase of 0.5 p.p. when compared to March 2005.

Copa Airlines passenger traffic (RPM) for March 2006 increased 32.9%, while capacity (ASM) increased 22.4%. This resulted in a 6.2 p.p increase in load factor when compared to March 2005. (Average load factor of 78.8% compared to 72.6% in 2005)

AeroRepublica passenger traffic (RPM) for March 2006 decreased 10.4%, while capacity (ASM) increased 23.9%. AeroRepublica's load factor for the month was a brutally low 46.4%. We have to consider that a lot of new routes have been opened and capacity has increased, but these numbers are too disappointing.

What is going on? P5 cant be that bad, and they are now part of onepass and owned by the largest airline group in Central America. I think CM needs to seriously consider integrating P5 operations into CM and getting rid of AeroRepublica's image once and for all. This is IMO the only way P5 can be turned around from the disaster it is turning out to be.
If it ain't Boeing (or Embraer ;-)) I ain't Going!
Posts: 86
Joined: Mon May 17, 2004 4:46 am

RE: Troubled Waters For Aerorepublica

Thu Apr 13, 2006 9:24 pm

I certainly don't have access to any specific statistics, but is this a normal trend for this time of the year? Should we see increased performance during Semana Santa and beyond, as we approach the summer season?
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Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:52 am

RE: Troubled Waters For Aerorepublica

Fri Apr 14, 2006 12:41 am

It is true that P5 need to wash away its bad perception here in Colombia; because of recent incidents (last years) and constant delays, its nickname is "Aerorecocha" ("recocha" is a term that can be translated like hard fun).

I´m one of those who never will fly in P5, at least not until CM take over completely the operations.
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Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2004 1:22 am

RE: Troubled Waters For Aerorepublica

Thu Apr 20, 2006 9:22 am

P5 is just loosing ground day by day against AV and maybe this will change if they approach the market more agressively, get better in punctuality and hace better service....
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Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 2:56 am

RE: Troubled Waters For Aerorepublica

Thu Apr 20, 2006 12:34 pm

Quoting Luisca (Thread starter):
What is going on? P5 cant be that bad

Actually, they aren't. The things is, the only time when AeroRepublica had a historically high share of the Colombian market was when Avianca was in its worst shape and was forced to cut a number of frequencies and flights. AeroRepublica obviously gained terrain, even if back then they weren't as acceptable as they are now.

I've said it here a number of times, it's nothing new, Avianca is coming extremely aggressively in the domestic and international arena, and AeroRepublica is the one paying the highest price. It's happening since last year, and if they don't take more drastic measures it is bound to continue happening.

For instance, I find extremely worrying AeroRepublica's loads on their MDE-PTY and CTG-PTY flight. Both flights are showing load factors around the low 20s, and I'm not joking. What I find curious is that Copa's services to both MDE and CTG continue to be successful even in the off-season periods.


Speaking of image changes, AeroRepublica is seemingly adopting this scheme:

Many of us thought that it was because this particular aircraft was a recent addition to the fleet. Surprisingly, there are now two planes painted in that all-white livery, the second one being one of AeroRepublica's traditional MDs. Looks like they are chaging it indeed.


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