MaverickM11
Topic Author
Posts: 15260
Joined: Thu Apr 06, 2000 1:59 pm

What Percent Of Listed Nonrevs Actually Show Up?

Sat May 27, 2006 7:54 am

Does anyone have an idea of how many nonrev standbys show up for a flight versus how many list to be on that flight? I'm sure it's closer to 100% on international flights and closer to 0% on domestic flights. This would be a helpful estimate to figure out how many of the bazillion nonrevs listed on my flight tonight are actually going to show up Silly. I'd like to think it's 50% for international flights but anyone with any actual consistent experience would be helpful!
E pur si muove -Galileo
 
UALFAson
Posts: 766
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 2:41 pm

RE: What Percent Of Listed Nonrevs Actually Show Up?

Sat May 27, 2006 8:12 am

Based on my experience, it largely depends on time of day and where you're going.

For example, late evening domestic flights tend to have a lower "show" percentage since people misconnect, get stuck in after-work traffic, etc. Also, red-eyes to the east coast have a higher no-show since people list for multiple flights even though they're not supposed to, trying to cover their bases and get on whatever they can (LAX-IAD/BWI/PHL for example).

You're right that it's much higher for int'l flights. In this case, it depends on frequency. You're going to have a higher percentage show for a once-a-day flight (ORD-HKG on UA, for example) than if people know they have a backup (3x IAD-LHR, for example). I would speculate that the percentage is probably in the 75 % range, but again that's mere speculation based on my fair amount of experience.

If there are multiple flights, always show up for the first one since you have a better shot with misconnect revs and non-revs. Keep in mind that tonight is the start of a 3-day holiday weekend in the U.S.

What airline/route are you planning on, if you're comfortable sharing?

Good luck!

~Rob
"We hope you've enjoyed flying with us as much as we've enjoyed taking you for a ride."
 
MaverickM11
Topic Author
Posts: 15260
Joined: Thu Apr 06, 2000 1:59 pm

RE: What Percent Of Listed Nonrevs Actually Show Up?

Fri Jun 02, 2006 12:07 am

Quoting UALFAson (Reply 1):
What airline/route are you planning on, if you're comfortable sharing?

I was planning on going to Argentina but there were a lot of nonrevs listed at the last minute. I ended up going to Central America instead, and even there it seemed like 100% of the nonrevs that were listed actually showed up.
E pur si muove -Galileo
 
cancidas
Posts: 3985
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 7:34 am

RE: What Percent Of Listed Nonrevs Actually Show Up?

Fri Jun 02, 2006 12:15 am

it depends on how smart they are. if there are 18 nonrevs listed and only 2 open seats you would hope that those who know they have no seniority don't show up for thier sake. i don't bother if i know that there is no way i'm getting on the plane... if there is a chance, you bet you a$$ i'll be there to get myself on!
"...cannot the kingdom of salvation take me home."
 
F9Animal
Posts: 3649
Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2004 7:13 am

RE: What Percent Of Listed Nonrevs Actually Show Up?

Fri Jun 02, 2006 12:22 am

It is hard to say. It also depends on location. Trying to fly into Vegas on a Friday and leave on a Sunday is next to impossible during peak season (and when is Vegas not at a peak season anymore.)

Also, it is hard to base it when so many non-revs don't cancel their reservation. Many catch earlier flights, and list for 14 flights and not show.

With my experience, I know that HP has a high amount of non-rev show up for flights out of PHX. F9 has a pretty high percentage of non-revs that show too. Domestically, I would venture to guess about 60-70% do show for their flights.

If you are sweating about making a flight, that is usually not a good thing. Either you have to be to work, or something that is very important to need to be on the plane. The ball always seems to roll in the direction of not making the flight. Why? Because I have bad luck if I must be somewhere, and the flight is showing full. LOL!

This is a good message to send to others that don't cancel their non-rev reservations! You know who you are! LOL!  Smile


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