|Quoting DeltaDC9 (Reply 10):|
just the 747 slots in general, especially with regard to the increase in production and the announced hard cutover from 744 to 748.
We do get an indication from the second link I provide;
The additional aircraft will be delivered in 2008 and 2009, GE Aviation said.
It's a shame they don't specify an actual date in 2009 as that would help clarify the situation for us.
I do apologise but it is quite late here but IIRC Boeing do not actually state a specific number when they indicate an increase in production. Rather, they provide guidance. I have a link which details this if I can find it now I shall post it, if not, I ask for your patience and I shall provide it tomorrow. IMO they have learnt from past errors in times of increased demand and ramping up production, consequently they are more conservative in their delivery guidance. The more so after the 1997 737 production shutdown for 30 days.
Here are some comments from Mr McNerney and Mr Mulally which indicate that they have learnt from past errors which has made them more vigilant when in their current position of responding to an upsurge in demand;
The company surprised many industry analysts a couple of months ago when Boeing Chairman and Chief Executive W. James McNerney Jr. said about 30 jets whose delivery was delayed by a four-week Machinists strike in September would not be fully made up until after 2006.
Mulally disclosed that Boeing on three occasions this year studied whether to raise production rates faster. Had Boeing done so, he said, the company could have sold even more jetliners in 2005.
"I feel very good about our production rate increase plan," Mulally said. "It reflects all our lesson learned from the past. We have a very disciplined commitment and compliance process. ... We decided three times not to increase production rates faster. That's why we are not making up those 30 planes until we are absolutely on our way to making these rates changes, and then we will look later about going up even higher."
[END - Fair use excerpt]
I will post the other link tomorrow which states that Boeing do not publish exact numbers when increasing production in conjunction with a timeframe. When pushed on the amount of sales
forecast for this year every response I've seen from a Boeing executive has been the same. It is along the lines of "we target 395 deliveries and expect sales to be within that region"
Well they have done well to date by already beating that number in terms of sales. Mr Leahy at the start of the year forecast that sales for both OEMs of all models would be in the vicinity of 830 to 860 frames, a decline of 61% from 2005. It would appear that between the 2 OEMs we'll see more sales than that IMO.
Thank you for the civil conversation DeltaDC9
and I would be happy to continue the discussion tomorrow.