Actually, there is some point in it. With such a measure malafide airline companies, which ignore safety rules, are indirectly forced to leave the sector, because they cannot come up with the capital required to acquire new aircraft.
Oh believe me they will find the capital to acquire new aircraft... So, this policy will make new planes get ruined faster...
It's a case of blaming something that's not to blame... for the umpteenth time !
After "protests" (or more like logic prevailing) over the past 24hrs, today a new press release was made, that the previous announcement was directed at new aircraft coming into Indonesia.
Again, this is still total baloney and it will basically strangle most of the airlines in the meantime.
Now, isn't this also coincidental that the airline he's "close to" is going to have waves of factory fresh aircraft this year? There are "rumours" that the Minister of Transport and the Vice President has money in that carrier.
Rumours of such an announcement like this was already running around the industry since 2005. Previously, this rumour was that Lion Air would continue having their MD80s overrunning at every plausible opportunity, and that when their MD80 has another fatal crash, the minister would ban the aircraft type, hence Lion can claim force majeure on the leases... then the series of Adam Air mishaps again, and the rumour was quicklyforgotten until 1Jan this year.
There are expected parallels to the previous rumour. The director of Air Comms is getting the sack, as expected, and it has been suspected for a while that letting him stay in that position was deliberate.
However, a ban on >10yr old aircraft coming into the country is extremely convenient for Lion, with Batavia struggling to come up with a few more Airbuses, and recently "rumoured" to have resorted into seeking used A320s, and having their 732/4s being cannibalized to keep the remainder of the fleet going. With Adam now having a cash drain and freefalling yields, the only other big competitors (not state owned) left for Lion Air will be Sriwijaya, and Indo Air Asia. Indo Air Asia's long string of delays due to lack of spares (yes Thank You Mr. Fernandez!) is being looked at with great interest by the Department of Transport, and their whole fleet consists of early built 733s. Then Sriwijaya, who have been doing magic with their old fleet of 732s, recently, it is said that it is getting "more difficult" to import spare parts for the 732s, and that their growth is halted due to the ban on incoming 732s imposed last year. This announcement would throw its plans to introduce the 734s into its fleet middle of this year.
What will happen is that while good players are getting hit, there'll be more dirty money being aired to pay for new planes for "naughty operators"... which will make the skies more dangerous!
Furthermore, the infrastructure cannot accept large scale introduction of the A32X and NG
family. The whole infrastructure hasn't even finished adapting to the move from F28/DC9 to 732/734 standards! With A32X and NG
becoming the "mandatory standard", expect a few ground collissions involving wingtips unless the infrastructure is upgraded/expanded.
There are a few very good start up projects that have been hit by the Adam Air crash, and now this announcement... If this announcement becomes law, then expect mass bankruptcies of the airlines here next year (where a LOT of fleet rejuvenation plans have scheduled mass rejuvenation to <20yr old aircraft)...
Or perhaps this is a way for the minister to say to the soon to go Director of AIr Comms, "You've shown yourself publicly to be with Adam, so I'm now showing my airline affiliation..."