An interesting scenario, Md80forum, but based on what?
While privatization is the norm in Europe nowadays, and Finnair might be in an acceptable shape for that, it would hardly be in the state's interests to let go of their stake. Take the present stock price, for instance, and consider how cheap the company would go. The real estate plus the aircraft must be worth a lot more than their current stock value! I would guess that the state will keep at least a 51% majority unless something dramatically affects the airline's stock value. And I can't see anything like that happening in the near future.
And why would long haul operations be moved away from the hub city where the majority of the clientele are? It's not as though steadily-growing air travel encourages that kind of move, all the less when there's virtually no competition to push the weak players out of that specific market sector.
On the other hand, I'm waiting for the day when the other Oneworld members start to make some commitment and take responsibility: right now we only get BA, and while IE, IB, AA and QF appear on codeshared flights to/from HEL, only IB of those has ever really been seen here. I think so far, Oneworld alliance hasn't been much of a benefit for either Finnair or our travelling public, but let's be patient and hope things are still shaping up. At least that's what all the indicators are pointing at.
- Hagi / EFHK