Vmax
Topic Author
Posts: 18
Joined: Sun Sep 24, 2006 11:56 pm

BA Fare Pricing - Dumb Question (sorry)

Fri May 04, 2007 3:46 am

Sorry to post a really dumb question on here but I did a search and couldn't find any answers. So I'd appreciate any help anyone's willing to give...

I'm looking to travel LHR-NBO on 3 November, returning 30 January 08, probably with BA. I've been monitoring their fares (and those of VS and KQ for comparison) over the last few weeks. My first foray onto BA's website provided me with a return economy (cheapest) fare of approx £629. Fast-forward to this week and I've consecutively had fares of £363.30, £459.30 and then £350.30 today over the last three days. I'm not in any hurry to book so I plan to keep comparing the fares over the course of the next month for the sake of curiosity.

However... what I want to know is how does this seemingly random fare-pricing malarkey work?!! I can't believe the difference in fares simply by one day! VS and KQ fares have, oddly, remained at the same level during the same period.

Please enlighten me someone?

Vmax
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carduelis
Posts: 1388
Joined: Wed Dec 05, 2001 8:24 pm

RE: BA Fare Pricing - Dumb Question (sorry)

Fri May 04, 2007 4:07 am

Your travel dates fall around the Christmas period, and so possibly fares will be higher.

The reason for possible fares changing is called market demand.

I've just had a look at BA's website and fare is GBP215.00, plus taxes GBP135.30, total GBP350.30, which confirms your latest findings.
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BAxMAN
Posts: 654
Joined: Fri May 28, 2004 7:51 am

RE: BA Fare Pricing - Dumb Question (sorry)

Fri May 04, 2007 6:48 am

BA65 03/11/07
LHR-NBO
J9 C9 D9 I4 W9 T9 Y9 B9 H9 K9 M9 R9 V9 N1 E9 L9 S9 Q9

BA88/BA64 30/01/08
NBO-LHR
J9 C9 D9 I9 W9 T9 Y9 B9 H9 K9 M9 R9 V9 N9 E9 L9 S9 Q9

I think that it is the outbound flight that is causing the price variances. There is currently just one seat being sold at the N class fare (you can disregard E/L/S/Q class for ex-UK fares) so there is a very strong probability that other travel agents or BA offices have bookings on hold that subsequently lapse and sporadicaly releasing/taking away extra inventory. But, conversely, more of those bookings that are being held will eventually be confirmed so the N class fares will sell out and the next one available will be V class. With currently just one N class fare being sold, that is going to disappear - permanently - very soon.

From Carduelis' fare breakdown, it's fairly straightforward to see that the £215 base fare is a NRCGB8 fare which is totally reliant on N class availabilty. It doesn't fully explain the wide range of fares you have been quoted as the availability, whilst dynamic, is very unlikely to have been this dynamic. It could possibly be due to V and N class fares only recently becoming saleable (it is common on some routes for availability to start from R class upwards before lower fares are made available).

However, that diminishing N class availability on the outbound flight certainly accounts for some of the more recent fluctuations.
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