|Quoting Multimark (Reply 8):|
Quoting Kearney (Reply 3):
I doubt it. The Q400 wont replace the smaller dash 8's they already have. I think that the Q400 is a bit to large, and AC's Embraer's cover that market.
Jazz has already been looking at the Q400. I believe I read somewhere that its pretty much as effcient as the Dash 300, so it could easily take on their routes. Since Jazz flight crew are paid the same hourly rate regardless of a/c type this should make the Q400 as profitable as a DH3. In addition, it might give AC the chance to fly some YYZ-NY flights with turboprops as Porter will be using the same equipment. It has long been rumoured that many of the DH1 routes will be devolved to Tier 3 carriers anyway.
I think Jazz will end up with Q400's eventually, and although they could certainly replace some DH3's (particularly on routes in competition with QX
& Porter), I see them more as a CRJ replacement rather than a Dash replacement - certainly the older CRJ100's anyway and if (big if IMO) they get the SK
birds this is what they will replace, not Dash's (which will no doubt overlap some DH3 routes too such as YVR
). As no part of their fleet renewal is desperate, I cant see Jazz making any fleet decisions just yet, so until these devolving rumours are put to bed or otherwise and they figure out what aircraft they will need long term, IMO they wont enter a new type to the fleet just yet - and runts of the litter at that!! If they do keep their DH1 routes - and I believe it would be in their best interests to do so - then these are the birds that (arguably) 'need' replacing first of the Dash's and a Q400 simply doesnt do that - the only new alternative is the Q200 - or ATR42 (which then also means ATR72's so they wouldnt want a handful of two legged Q400's even short term in that case).
Flybe would definatly be my #1 guess. Bmi regional is an interesting one - its possible with the SK
tie up, but if they are also the UFO for the new builds, then it becomes doubtful IMO as that will be a serious increase in capacity, unless they are going to take over some WW
routes too or share with them. Of course, there could be more than one carrier and the likes of LH
could be in the mix too for the odd frame. VG
could be another option who we know are looking for fresh metal.