|Quoting FCKC (Reply 24):|
Why buying a plane (in the IB case 748I) which will be the perfect size TODAY and some years after , but will be too small in some years to COME ?
As airlines buy a plane for about 20 years , it is far more logical to order the bigger model now , even if it is not maximalised during only a few years , but still have a low economical cost.
Well I can think of a good reason, you don't by something that looses you money today just because it is possible that it will get you money in the future. The 747-100 comes to mind. That aircraft was operated by a large number of American carriers in the past but it was too big and now they don't operate anything that big anymore. So that doesn't make it logical.
|Quoting Stitch (Reply 25):|
Off the top of my head...
Performance - It carries more stuff farther and more efficiently. And it will only get better (A388E/A388R).
Expansion - It offers 20% or more capacity. And it will only get better (A389).
Technology - It's based on 20 year old systems, not 40.
Future - It's the first model in the family, not the last.
For the sake of arguement,
Performance- The A380 may carry more passengers but to my knowledge it doesn't carry much more if any more cargo which to some airlines is important, Also we aren't talking about what the airframe could become, Boeing could very easily design a replacement for the 748i that would do just what the upgraded version of the A380 does.
Expansion- yes the A380 offers more capacity but is the extra capicity needed, I would look at AA
for example they use 777's hardly the largest plane out there and I could think of numerous routes where they could even use more capacity in a single airplane but they still don't have anything bigger.
Technology- As far as I know the only thing that is going to remain the same one the 748i is the fuselage. The cockpit and the engines and all that stuff will be much more advanced. I will also say that regardless of the technology onboard if it is more economical who cares.
Future- does it really matter if you have the family to add on to. IB
could buy the 748i today and in 20 years buy the next boeing jumbo, whats wrong with that, it is still another airplane that they have to buy. Judging by your comment about technology (which I disagree with) the A389 would be outdated and they should pick the new boeing then anyway.
I wouldn't say that the the A380 is the logical choice, I wouldn't say that of the 748i either. I would say that they both have merit. From what little I know about IB
I would say that the 748i is a much better fit in their network for the near furture. Perhaps an A380's capacity could be used in the future but there isn't enough evidence to make a billion dollar decision based on that.
One mile of highway gets you one mile, one mile of runway gets you anywhere.