Today, the families are optimized around the A320 and 738, the reengining and double-digit sfc improvoment will shift that optimum point to the right. The A320NEO & 738MAX will continue to be the big sellers, but the A321NEO and 739MAX will gain a lot of attractiveness. The A319NEO / 737MAX will not become the new A318 / 736, but they will sell less relatively to their big brothers than they do today.
They will still be useful for long thin routes, QR
will surely be interested, IB
could open up a good chunk of Africa with them, etc. But for those who don't need the range capacity, they may be "too much aircraft" and they'll go for A320NEO / 738MAX instead.
|Quoting Burkhard (Reply 8):|
I see the A319NEO 737MAX7 to replace the 757 as the transcon-TATL small plane. Enough space for enough Business class, and a few Y which are easy to be sold at good margins and cargo containers.
IMO, they are still too small for a profitable typical 2-class operation, despite the efficiency gains. However, they would make all-business (or heavy business + some Y+) TATL flights much more attractive.