loads have exceeded initial forecast. As some might remember due to demand TK
even increased frequency in the middle of the winter which is quite unusual for Atlantic flights.
As far as composition of passengers, there is very little US connections on the LAX
end, its almost completely local traffic. I suspect much of the Western US instead connects via places like ORD
. Keep in mind until recent TK
had zero domestic code-shares at LAX
except to JFK
. Only now there is a single SFO
flight on UA
In total passengers about 50% is Turkey destined with other 50% beyond connections. Very diverse list of beyond markets from LAX
however the bigger ones are Iran, Gulf states, Levent region, Ethiopia, Egypt, Pakistan, CIS. Strangely I’ve even seen people with reservations to places like AMS
, due to competitive fares (including in premium classes).
For growth, from what I am told by TK
management, there is a shortage of widebody capacity. But eventually if there were no restrictions, certainly even a second daily flight could be considered. I mean if JFK
is 3x now, why not 2x at LAX
. Many other foreign airlines have double daily services here, so TK
should be able to do ok with the wide variety of beyond markets it offers.
For a San Francisco direct flight, sure I guess that might be an option one day, however keep in mind the SF
market is only about 50% the size of LA
, so TK
would have to rely much more on United to help with lots of feed from the Western US.
It seems to me there are more opportunities in the Eastern US at the moment then opening SFO
in the next few years.