Not only must the frame in question be 7 years of age or older, but only certain countries are "allowed" (or are willing) to sell a/c to Iranian carriers in the first place. For example, even if a carrier in a western country has an 8-year old Boeing or Airbus widebody that Iran Air or Mahan could use, they would not be able to sell it to Iranians like, say, a Ukranian or some CIS carrier would.
Since Iran Air has a history of buying a/c from Brazil (e.g. TAM selling Fokkers to IR
), is it possible for an Iranian carrier to buy new Embaer aircraft? Or are there too many American components involved for such a deal to take place? I feel like there is a need for narrowbody a/c in Iran as much as there is for widebodies, no? Would they still consider a Sukhoi Superjet 100 order, or maybe MS
-21s with aviadvigatel engines?
Otherwise, the second-hand Boeing and Airbus a/c will inevitably pop-up in the market. It should not be a surprise to anyone if Iran Air soon acquires some 744s. I wonder whether A340s are a possibility, as perhaps are 762s and 763s which are becoming more common on the market (TAM and Transaero are offloading their 767s soon, think about that).
EDIT: Iceberg210--the An-148s are the least likely to join Iranian fleets. A Tu-204 order by Iran Air was swiped off the shelf a couple of years ago and now the order seems to have lost legitimacy. Knowing that various Russian carriers are operating Il-96s only for a period of time, it is not impossible for the acquirement of such aircraft as they have rather similar capacities to the A300 and A310.
[Edited 2012-04-18 08:13:18]